Jake Roth, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Aaron Rodgers
- The Green Bay Packers opened as 3.5-point road favorites against the New York Jets, but have quickly fallen to +2.
- A line move of this magnitude could be the result of overwhelming sharp action, or potentially a key injury that has yet to be reported.
The Green Bay Packers have had a disappointing season. At 5-8-1, they’ll finish with a losing record for the second consecutive time.
They’ve canned Mike McCarthy and now, they are UNDERDOGS to the New York Jets. The most reasonable thing to happen next would be for their pets’ heads to start falling off.
The Packers didn’t open as pooches to the Jets. In fact, they were 3.5-point road favorites on Sunday night.
Sharp bettors weren’t jiving with that line, though. They’ve moved the Jets from +3.5 to -2.
Did I miss something? Did Aaron Rodgers’ head fall off too? Perhaps he’ll be rested, seeing as their season is over.
According to Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, the Jets were steamed at +3.5 and +1.5, which caused this major market movement.
An adjustment of this size would be rather unprecedented for a game without a major injury — especially given how quickly it moved.
These odds now suggest that the line would be somewhere around Green Bay -1 if these two teams were to meet in some sort of fictional Crappy Bowl on a neutral field.
Rodgers has been a dog to a losing team just four times in his career, with two instances coming this season.
Though he’s been great against the spread (ATS) in his career (57.2% cover rate), he’s just 1-2-1 in these spots with an average cover margin of -6.12 according to our Bet Labs data.
He’s also just 15-17-1 ATS as a regular season dog.