Eagles-Cowboys Betting Preview: Keep Riding Dallas After Last Week’s Big Win?

Eagles-Cowboys Betting Preview: Keep Riding Dallas After Last Week’s Big Win? article feature image
Credit:

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott

Betting odds: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

  • Spread: Cowboys -3.5
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: The market is fairly split on this game, with the Cowboys understandably receiving the majority of bets with 62% at the time of writing (see live data here) following their upset of the Saints.

But the money split is closer to 50/50, and the line has dropped from Dallas -4 to -3/-3.5 since opening. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys are 31-45-2 (41%) against the spread as favorites, according to our Bet Labs data.

If the game is played at home, the ATS record drops to 16-32 (33%). Finally, as home favorites late in the season (December and January), the Cowboys are 2-10 ATS under Garrett. John Ewing


Here’s the flip side of that: Cowboys are coming off an upset win over the Saints as 7.5-point underdogs at home last week.

Under Garrett, the Cowboys are 14-7 (66.7%) ATS the week after a straight-up win as an underdog, profiting bettors 6.6 units to make Garrett the third-most profitable NFL coach in this spot since 2010, his first season in Dallas.

Since 2016, the Cowboys are 7-1 SU and ATS in this spot, covering by an average of 6.2 points. Evan Abrams

Biggest mismatch: Cowboys’ Boundary Corners vs. Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor

The Cowboys have played outside receivers very well this season with the help of Byron Jones, Pro Football Focus’ No. 3 cornerback. Overall, they’ve allowed 64.8 receiving yards per game and just two total touchdowns to perimeter receivers this season, per Sports Info Solutions. Justin Bailey

Credit: James Lang-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alshon Jeffery, Chidobe Awuzie

Which team is healthier? Cowboys

Neither team should be described as anything close to 100%.

The Cowboys are at least expected to welcome back stud left tackle Tyron Smith (stinger). Wide receiver Cole Beasley (foot) and cornerback Chidobe Awuzie (illness) should also be good to go, but the jury remains out on linebacker Sean Lee (hamstring), defensive tackle David Irving (ankle), wide receiver Tavon Austin (groin) and tight end Geoff Swaim (wrist).

The Eagles aren’t guaranteed to have defensive tackle Timmy Jernigan (back), left tackle Jason Peters (ankle), defensive end Michael Bennett (foot), linebacker Jordan Hicks (calf), along with cornerbacks Avonte Maddox (leg) and Jalen Mills (foot).

The good news for Philly is that running back Josh Adams (shoulder) should be good to go.

Note: Info as of 6 p.m. ET Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff. — Ian Hartitz

DFS edge: Since the Cowboys are so good on the boundary, targeting Zach Ertz would make the most sense.

Over the past six weeks, Ertz is seeing 25% of the Eagles’ target share. In fact, he’s the one pass-catcher who hasn’t been affected by the Golden Tate acquisition.

The last time he faced the Cowboys, Ertz put together an absurd 14-145-2 line on 16 targets. He’s $600 cheaper than Travis Kelce on FanDuel but is projected for only 1.9 fewer points. Bailey

Bet to watch: Under 44

These two teams combined for 47 points in their first matchup this season thanks to four (!!!) consecutive touchdown drives between the end of the third quarter through the middle of the fourth.

This perhaps overshadowed both of their struggles to protect their quarterback during the earlier stages of the game.

Overall, Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz were sacked four and two times, respectively. Prescott has the week’s worst combined-pressure rate among all quarterbacks, while Wentz could potentially be without his stud left tackle Peters (ankle).

Here’s to the season’s second matchup between these divisional rivals turning into your token NFC East slugfest.

Gimme the under. Hartitz


Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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