Can Phillip Lindsay Replicate His Fantasy Success?

Sep 01, 2019 11:17 AM EDT
Credit:

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Denver Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay (30).

  • Phillip Lindsay took the NFL by storm as a rookie, finishing as the RB13 in PPR scoring.
  • Will he keep balling out for the Denver Broncos and fantasy football investors in 2019?

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Phillip Lindsay totaled 4,859 yards from scrimmage and scored 39 total touchdowns over four seasons at Colorado, but concerns about his size (5-foot-8 and 190 pounds) and athleticism (30th-percentile SPARQ-x score) ultimately held him back as a prospect. He wasn’t drafted in 2018, but managed to land spot with his hometown Broncos.

Fast forward to 2019 and Lindsay is suddenly one of the hottest commodities in the league. His breakout rookie season helped provide some excitement during an otherwise putrid campaign for the 2018 Broncos, and there’s hope that the best is still to come for the young back who turns 25 in late July.

Of course, with great power comes great responsibility. Lindsay finds himself facing scrutiny from the fantasy community now that it’ll take an early-round pick to acquire his services in 2019. Let’s break down whether the second-year back is worthy of a high fantasy football investment.


Phillip Lindsay Was Historically Good for an Undrafted Rookie

The first thing we need to note is how rare Lindsay’s success was for a rookie. Running backs selected in the top-three rounds of the draft have usually been vastly superior fantasy football options as rookies, but there are exceptions to every rule.

Alfred Morris (RB21) and Jordan Howard (RB15) were again productive fantasy assets during their second professional season, while Stacy (RB71) fell off the map. It’s worth noting that Lindsay is clearly the best pass-catcher of the group and thus holds an elevated fantasy floor.

Of course, Lindsay also maintains plenty of fantasy relevance thanks to his ability on the ground. His average of 5.4 yards per carry trailed only Kerryon Johnson (5.43) and Aaron Jones (5.47) among running backs with at least 100 carries in 2018.

Lindsay is the rare example of a punitive-sized back who still is effective as an inside runner.

There’s reason to believe Lindsay could continue to have a good relationship with his quarterback considering…

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