Freedman’s Favorite Alliance of American Football Prop Bets (Feb. 8): Opening Day Attendance
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Inside of the Alamodome, where the Commanders will play
- Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring one of his favorite bets for each day of 2019.
- On Friday, he looks at two attendance prop bets for the new Alliance of American Football league's opening day.
Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.
Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional official player prop picks. On Friday, we have an eight-game NBA slate.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
50-38-5, +14.81 Units
- NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
- NBA: 16-13-0, +1.72 Units
- NHL: 9-8-4, +2.66 Units
- Golf: 2-3-1, -0.70 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units
- Exotics: 2-0-0. +0.40 Units
Freedman’s Favorite Alliance of American Football Prop Bets for Friday, Feb. 8: Opening Day Attendance
Ian Hartitz and I discussed a few props on our Week 1 podcast breakdown of the Alliance of American Football. Give the episode a listen.
The Alliance kicks off this weekend with two games on Saturday.
- San Diego Fleet at San Antonio Commanders: 8 pm ET
- Atlanta Legends at Orlando Apollos: 8 pm ET
Props have have been posted for the attendance numbers for both games, and I just can’t help myself.
San Diego Fleet at San Antonio Commanders: Over/Under 28,000
- Over 28,000: -115
- Under 28,000: -115
San Antonio has just one major sports team: The Spurs, who have been one of the most successful NBA franchises over the past two decades. They have an average home attendance of 18,252 this season.
In the United Soccer League, San Antonio FC had an average home attendance of 6,939 in 2018.
San Antonio no longer has a WNBA team in part because attendance at Stars games was mediocre.
I don’t see how the Commanders will attract more than 28,000 people in a city that hasn’t done a great job of showing up for other sports franchises.
The Pick: Under 28,000 (-115)
Atlanta Legends at Orlando Apollos: Over/Under 26,000
- Over 26,000: -115
- Under 26,000: -115
The Magic have had underwhelming home attendance with an average of 17,281 this season.
Although I hope the Alliance will have long-term success, I’m doubtful that it will be able to attract a large audience right away, especially since there could be nationwide football fatigue with the recent conclusion of the NFL season.
If this prop had been set at 2,600, I would have still maybe bet the under. Even if the Apollos give tickets away, I still don’t know why people would go to a random football game when there are so many other things to do in Orlando.
Like go to Harry Potter World.
The Pick: Under 26,000 (-115)