Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sean McVay.
- The Rams are -13.5 this week on the road at Arizona (4:05 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX) despite coming off two straight losses.
- This will be the first time that a team coming off at least two straight losses has been more than a 10.5-point favorite on the road.
- The Rams may break another betting record by the time the season's over, as no team with a 13-3 record has been worse than 7-9 against the spread (Rams currently 5-8-1.)
The Los Angeles Rams are a pretty darn good football team, but they aren’t a friend to bettors. Unless you’ve been betting against them, that is.
About a month ago, I stumbled upon the fact that they had the worst record against the spread for any elite team in our database at that point of the season.
Now, with two weeks remaining, they’ve broken yet another record. I suppose this one could be considered good or bad depending on if you’re a glass half full type of person or cynical butthead type of person.
Per Bet Labs, there has never been a road favorite of larger than 10.5 points coming off of at least two straight losses since 2003. Meanwhile, the Rams are -13.5 on the road vs. the Cardinals this week — easily besting the previous mark set by the…
2018 Pittsburgh Steelers! Literally less than 10 days ago when they visited the Raiders and closed at -10.5. That worked out real well for them.
Both double-digit road favorites coming off of multiple losses have failed to cover, while home teams in the same situation have gone 22-25 against the spread.
The record for highest spread at home in this spot belongs to the Seattle Seahawks, who were 16.5-point favorites against the Bears back in 2015.
Let’s assume the Rams win their final two games and finish the season at 13-3. That would put them among some of the better teams of the past 15+ years, right?
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Here’s how every team with at least a 13-3 record has done against the spread since 2003.
Last year’s Steelers are the only team to have a sub-.500 record against the spread. Just one other team stooped as low as 8-8 ATS. The Rams, who sit at 5-8-1, need to cover both of their final two games to finish with a slightly better ATS record than last year’s Steelers.
They’ll have to cover a lot of points, too, as they’ll surely be double-digit favorites again in Week 17 when the 49ers come to town.
Will the public have faith in the Rams to cover the lofty spread or will they back the terrible Cardinals in hopes that Josh Rosen can do better than his standard 12-25, 150 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 interception line?