Los Angeles Rams a Trendy Pick in Early NFL Conference Championship Betting
Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Brandin Cooks (12) and quarterback Jared Goff (16)
- The Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) are attracting the majority of spread betting tickets in the NFC Championship Game (3:05 p.m. ET, FOX) against the New Orleans Saints.
- In the AFC Championship Game (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS) the New England Patriots are nearing 50% of bets as underdogs, but sportsbooks have yet to move off the opener of Kansas City Chiefs -3.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we break down how early action is affecting the spread and over/under for both NFL conference championship games.
Just three football games remain in the NFL season and you better believe folks will be betting each one heavily. We’ve tracked more than 9,600 bets for Sunday’s New England Patriots-Kansas City Chiefs game, which is already more than 38 regular season games had this year.
It’s only Tuesday morning.
After both conference championship games opened with similar spreads and over/unders, the betting market has impacted each of these four lines differently.
Here’s what has happened so far:
Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints
3:05 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX
Spread: Saints -3.5
The Saints opened at -3.5 and the line is back there, but there was some early line movement. Shortly after opening, bettors grabbed the Rams plus the hook and dropped the line down to the key number of three. Saints bettors snatched that up quickly, leaving the line at -3 for about 30 minutes at some books.
The Rams have become trendier since then. At that time, spread bets were split 50/50, but the Rams are now up at 56%. The line has stuck at 3.5, suggesting that there hasn’t been enough sharp money on either side to move the point spread.
The over/under opened at 56, but was up to 57 in just about 15 minutes. Gotta hop on those lines quickly sometimes.
In the Rams-Saints game in November, the over/under fell from 60 to 57.5, but the two teams combined for 80 points. With that in mind, 62% of bets and 74% of dollars are on the over this go around.
Since the very early line movement, the line has settled at 57.
New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs
6:40 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS
Spread: Chiefs -3
This spread remains at its opening number too, but unlike the Rams-Saints game, there has been no movement whatsoever.
The Patriots are getting 47% of bets and 49% of dollars, but this game hasn’t attracted enough action on either side to drive the line off three. Both sides have seen juice hit at least -120, so there has been some momentum at times.
It’s like trying to topple over a vending machine. Right now, my 150-pound frame is pushing it and struggling to get it more than a couple inches off the ground. The sportsbooks need a burly fella like Geoff Schwartz to push it over entirely to move off a vital number in such a heavily bet game.
Easily the most talked about storyline of the week so far, the weather forecast is greatly impacting this over/under.
In fact, we have three stories talking about it already in much greater detail so I recommend checking them out.