Ravens vs. Washington Odds & Pick: Bet On Lamar Jackson To Cover Week 4’s Biggest Spread
Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Lamar Jackson
- Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens are massive two touchdown favorites for their Week 4 showdown against the Washington Football Team.
- After an embarrassing loss to the Kansas City Chiefs this past Monday night, will the Ravens come out firing on Sunday?
- Our NFL betting analyst Reed Wallach explains why he still thinks there's value on Baltimore despite the huge spread.
Ravens vs. Washington Odds
|Ravens Odds||-13.5 [BET NOW]|
|Washington Odds||+13.5 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||45.5 [BET NOW]|
|Kickoff||1 p.m. ET on Sunday|
The Baltimore Ravens travel approximately an hour south to the nation’s capital, still licking their wounds after suffering a 34-20 loss against the Kansas City Chiefs at home Monday as 3.5-point favorites.
Surely, Baltimore will look to get back on track when it faces the Washington Football Team (1-2), which is coming off a 34-20 defeat against the Cleveland Browns. The host failed to cover the 7-point spread in the setback.
Baltimore is laying a lofty number, favored by 13.5 points as of this writing, and faces a Washington team with a stout defense and flimsy offense. Expect Lamar Jackson and the explosive Ravens’ offense to try and take their frustrations out on Washington and get back in the win column.
Despite the loss to the Chiefs, the Ravens are still among the AFC’s elite, scoring on 60% of their drives through three weeks, second to only the Packers.
Baltimore sets the tone on offense with a strong running game. Averaging more than five yards a carry and paced by the reigning league MVP Lamar Jackson’s legs, the Ravens open up their downfield attack by establishing the run. And while Jackson’s ability to take off downfield strikes fear in defenses, his passing is much improved in this season — he’s completing nearly 69% of his passes and has become more than just a running quarterback.
On the defensive end, Baltimore has picked up where it left off in 2019 in the turnover department, generating six through three games, currently second-best in the league.
The Ravens’ high-pressure defensive scheme — they blitz on roughly 46% of defensive plays — is sure to make Dwayne Haskins and the Washington offense uncomfortable, considering the Football Team was minus-5 in turnover margin last week against an average Browns defense. This is a turnover-prone bunch, and Baltimore should be able to exploit its opportunities.
While the Ravens have only six sacks — which is middle of the road compared to the rest of the league — they are third in quarterback hits (23). They could drive up that total against Haskins, who has been sacked at least three times in each game this season.
Washington Football Team
Washington has shown itself to be a one-sided club.
In his first season at the helm, head coach Ron Rivera has a strong defensive front that has held up well despite an underwhelming offense. Washington has been solid against the run, limiting opponents to a little more than four yards per carry and has done a good job limiting big passing plays.
If Washington wants to pull off the stunner, it’s going to have to lean on that line that’s leading the league in adjusted sack rate according to Football Outsiders.
On the other side, Baltimore’s offensive line has the second-worst adjusted sack rate allowed. Despite Jackson’s ability to escape the pocket, he’s taken a surprising amount of sacks early on. The Football Team is going to hope it can push Baltimore behind the sticks and get the ball back in favorable positions.
However, standout rookie Chase Young will be out after leaving the Browns’ game early with a groin injury. Young has been as good as advertised and has already become an integral part of the Washington pass rush. Without him, the task of slowing the Ravens’ offense down becomes that much harder.
Baltimore has to be disappointed in its performance against Kansas City. In a battle of the AFC’s top teams, the Ravens came out flat and got badly beaten.
In his coaching career, Baltimore’s John Harbaugh is 13-5 against the spread off a double-digit loss, so you know that he’s going to refocus the team in the Battle for the DMV.
Without Young on the field, Washington’s strength is somewhat neutralized. On the offensive end, Haskins has shown that he’s incapable of handling pressure and can’t be trusted to keep pace with the Ravens offensive attack.
While a double-digit spread is always a tough number to bet on with the fear of the late cover, I feel this is a number worth laying.
Washington is struggling to move the ball and Baltimore is going to come out hungry, looking to make a statement and beat up on an inferior opponent.
I would play this up to -14, but nothing higher, and fully expect the Ravens to put their foot on the gas to get their groove back.
Pick: Ravens -13.4