The Most Ridiculous Ryan Fitzpatrick Prop Bet You’ve Ever Seen

Sep 17, 2018 3:28 PM EDT
  • MyBookie is offering a prop on if Ryan Fitzpatrick will throw for 400+ yards and 4+ touchdowns for the third consecutive week.
  • Fitzpatrick is just the sixth quarterback over the past 25 years to surpass those thresholds in at least three games.
  • No quarterback has ever racked up at least three straight games with 400+ passing yards and 4+ touchdowns.

The Buccaneers were expected to have a rough start to the season after starting quarterback Jameis Winston was suspended for Weeks 1-3 … and then Ryan Fitzpatrick staked his claim as the league’s best dressed quarterback.

Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers are one of just seven 2-0 teams remaining after two weeks, and the offense has averaged an absurd 35.7 points per game.

Their 35-year-old quarterback has thrown for a combined 819 yards with an 8/1 TD/INT ratio against Saints and Eagles defenses that were thought to be among the league’s best units.

FitzMagic fever is at an all-time high, and the folks at MyBookie.ag decided to fan the flames with this prop:

Will Ryan Fitzpatrick throw for 400+ yards and 4+ TDs in Week 3?

  • Yes (+200)
  • No (-300)

If you didn’t know already: Throwing for 400-plus yards and four-plus touchdowns is very difficult to do.

There have been just 57 instances (0.45%) in 12,800 games over the past 25 years.

Still, the Buccaneers are set up well at home against a Steelers defense that is fresh off allowing 326 yards and six (!!!) touchdowns to electrifying second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

No. 1 cornerback Joe Haden (hamstring) didn’t suit up in Week 2 and isn’t guaranteed to return this Sunday.

Despite the solid matchup, another monster performance from Fitzpatrick will be an uphill climb: Tom Brady is the only quarterback to ever surpass 400 passing yards and rack up at least four touchdowns through the air against the Steelers.

In fact, only six quarterbacks have ever reached these thresholds at least three times over the past 25 years:

  • Peyton Manning (8)
  • Drew Brees (5)
  • Tom Brady (3)
  • Aaron Rodgers (3)
  • Matt Stafford (3)
  • Fitzpatrick (3)

This Sunday’s matchup against the Steelers provides Fitzpatrick with perhaps his only chance at surpassing Brady in literally anything.

Of course, the aforementioned quarterbacks managed to rack up these monster games over the course of their entire careers, not in three consecutive weeks.

No quarterback in NFL history has ever chained together at least three consecutive games with 400-plus passing yards and four-plus touchdowns. Other than Fitzpatrick, only Dan Marino and Billy Volek have even gotten the chance to try.

If you can’t tell which way I’m leaning … +200 odds imply a probability of 33.3%.

Records are meant to be broken, but I’ll gladly take -300 odds that Fitzpatrick doesn’t put together literally the best three-game stretch from a quarterback in NFL history.

Follow Ian Hartitz on Twitter
@IHartitz

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
HOU
WAS
43
+3
42
+3
CIN
BAL
43.5
-4.5
44
-5.5
PIT
JAC
47.5
+6
46.5
+5
CAR
DET
50.5
+3
49.5
+4.5
DAL
ATL
47.5
-4.5
50
-3
TEN
IND
48
-3
51
-1
TB
NYG
52
PK
53
-3
OAK
ARI
41
-4
41
-5.5
DEN
LAC
47
-7.5
46.5
-7
PHI
NO
54.5
-9
56
-7.5
MIN
CHI
45.5
-2.5
44
-2.5
KC
LA
63.5
-1
63
-3.5