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Seahawks-Rams Getting Two-Sided Sharp Action

Nov 11, 2018 1:55 PM EST
  • The Seahawks opened as 10-point dogs vs. the Rams (4:25 p.m. ET).
  • The spread remained in the 9.5/10 area all week, but Seattle was steamed on Sunday morning and promptly moved to +8.5/8.
  • A couple hours later, buyback came in on the Rams and pushed their line back up toward -10, meaning Russell Wilson will likely face the largest spread of his career on Sunday.

Early in the week, I mentioned that Russell Wilson would be an underdog of historic proportions this week against the Rams.

He’s never been more than a 7.5-point dog in his career, but when he does get points, he’s been excellent against the spread.

The Seahawks opened as a 10-point dog and were hovering around +9.5 for the large majority of the week … until this morning.

It took a while for the big bettors to come in on Russ the underdog, but, per Sports Insights’ bet signals, Seattle got steamed at +9.5 shortly after 9:30 a.m. ET, pushing their line to +8.5/8 around the market.

However, about two hours later, the script was flipped. Buyback came in on the Rams and came in hard. A steam move triggered at Heritage caused the Rams to move back up to -9.5/-10 in the blink of an eye.

If we look at our betting percentages, it’s the Seahawks who are getting 53% of spread bets at the time of writing (check out live data here).

The narrative of “trendy dogs get slaughtered” has not applied to NFL teams getting at least a touchdown, as they’ve gone 50-42-2 ATS since 2003 when getting at least 51% of spread bets, per our Bet Labs data.

Credit:

Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson.

Follow Mark Gallant on Twitter
@marky_money

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OPEN
CURR
# BETS
-6.5
42.5
-7
43.5
44.5
-4
45.5
-2.5
44
-3
43.5
+1
47.5
-8.5
46.5
-7.5
46.5
-5
45
-5.5
38
PK
39.5
-2.5
46.5
-3.5
46
-3
44
-9
44
-10
44
-9.5
44.5
-7.5
47
-3
47.5
-3
36
-8.5
36
-7.5
-5.5
44.5
-3.5
44.5
-1
52.5
-3
54
54
-9.5
52
-12.5
-7
54
-6.5
50.5

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