Seahawks-Bears MNF Betting Guide: Will Seattle’s Injuries Be Too Much to Overcome?

Seahawks-Bears MNF Betting Guide: Will Seattle’s Injuries Be Too Much to Overcome? article feature image
Credit:

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Khalil Mack / Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Wilson

Betting odds: Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears

  • Spread: Bears -4.5
  • Over/Under: 43
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: The Seahawks are getting the majority of bets at the time of writing (see live data here), but the line has actually moved against them pretty significantly.

Chicago opened as 3-point favorites, moved to 3.5 pretty quickly and held firm there throughout the week until a Sunday afternoon Steam Move boosted this number up to 4.5/5 across the market.

If the bigger-money wagers continue to back the Bears, don’t be surprised if the spread stays on the move, as it’s currently lingering in a dead zone between key numbers. Scott T. Miller

Trend to know: The Seahawks are on the second leg of back-to-back games as road underdogs. Teams in this spot that lost the first game are 190-135-5 (58.5%) against the spread the following week since 2003. — Danny Donahue

Prime time birds: The combination of Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson should make any opponent sweat, especially when you have to play this duo at night in prime time (including playoffs and Super Bowl).

Wilson has made 29 career prime time starts and he is 23-5-1 straight-up and 21-6-2 ATS (+14 units), making him the most profitable quarterback in those games since he was drafted in 2012 by a wide margin.

When Wilson is on the road during the regular season in prime time he is 8-2-1 ATS.

Carroll also seems to love the limelight. With Seattle, Carroll is 24-6-2 ATS (+17.1 units), making him the most profitable coach in prime time since joining Seattle. — Evan Abrams

Did you know? Entering the 2018 season, 13 consecutive teams failed to cover on the road in Week 2 after playing on the road in Week 1. The Chiefs ended that streak on Sunday, but the Texans fell victim to it again.

Seattle finds itself in this spot on Monday night. — Stuckey

Injury watch: The Bears expect prized-jewel Khalil Mack and first-round pick Roquan Smith to have larger roles in Week 2, and the defense is otherwise healthy except for slot corner Bryce Callahan (knee).

The only issue is their tight end depth: Adam Shaheen (ankle) and Zach Miller (knee) are each on injured reserve.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks are one of the most banged-up teams in the league. Each of linebacker KJ Wright (knee, out), linebacker Bobby Wagner (groin, out), and Doug Baldwin (knee, out) won’t suit up Monday night, while cornerbacks corner Trequille Flowers (hamstring, doubtful) and Shaquill Griffin (thigh, questionable) could also find themselves on the bench.

The good news is safety Bradley McDougald (knee) and defensive end Dion Jordan (knee) are good to go against Trubisky & Co. — Ian Hartitz

Note: All injury info as of Sunday Sept. 16 at 9:30 p.m. ET. Please visit our Week 2 Injury Dashboard for updated daily practice participation and game statuses up until game time.

Injury impact: The health disparity between these two teams is one of the main reasons I like the Bears.

The Seahawks haven’t played without both Wright and Wagner in the same game since 2012, and the secondary is a mess.

The much healthier Bears should win this game despite some of the shortcomings of Mitch Trubisky in the passing game. If you can find a three for the first half or a three full game live for the Bears, I’d jump. Stuckey

DFS edge: Jordan Howard played 71% of the Bears’ snaps during their Week 1 loss to the Packers, while backup space back Tarik Cohen was on the field for just 28 offensive plays.

Monday night sets up well for the Bears’ No. 1 RB, who will be playing as a home favorite. Howard has averaged an additional 4.2 DraftKings PPG with a +3.9 Plus/Minus and a 62% Consistency Rating at Soldier Field during his career.

The Seahawks have allowed an additional 3.7 PPG in eight games without stud Wagner (groin) since 2012. — Ian Hartitz

Biggest matchup advantage: Khalil Mack vs. Seattle’s O-line.

Wilson will make some plays with his legs and creativity, but this is a really flawed Seattle roster. The Seahawks have a subpar offensive line, an unreliable running game and won’t have the services of Baldwin, who’s their best receiver.

All of that’s bad news against stud pass-rusher Khalil Mack.

I mean, did you see how he played in Week 1 against a Packers team that has good offensive tackles? The ex-Raider should make another prime time splash against a Seahawks O-line that allowed six sacks in Week 1.

I should note that Mack somewhat disappeared in the second half against the Packers, but conditioning could be to blame as he missed training camp. Stuckey

Bet to watch: Seahawks +4.5

Chicago looked good in the first half against Green Bay when it raced out to a 17-0 halftime lead. People seem to forget the second half when the Bears were outscored, 24-6, and lost to a hobbled Aaron Rodgers.

Yes, Mitch Trubisky looked competent (completed 66% of his passes) and  Mack was extremely disruptive, but should the Bears really be favored over Russell Wilson by 4.5 points?

When two winless teams meet in Week 2, the underdog has gone 31-14-2 (69%) ATS since 2003.

The lookahead line for this game was Chicago -1 — and our simulations make it Bears -1.5.

So I’m getting three free points and the better quarterback? Sign me up. — John Ewing


Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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