Freedman’s Favorite Super Bowl 53 Announcer Prop Bet: Will Tony Romo or Jim Nantz Mention the Spread?

Freedman’s Favorite Super Bowl 53 Announcer Prop Bet: Will Tony Romo or Jim Nantz Mention the Spread? article feature image
Credit:

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tony Romo

  • Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring one of his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
  • He looks ahead to Super Bowl 53 and highlights his favorite announcer prop for the big game, featuring Tony Romo and Jim Nantz.

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine.

For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

18-16-3, +9.23 Units

  • Golf: 2-3-1, -0.70 Units
  • NFL: 5-5-0, +6.83 Units
  • NBA: 6-5-0, +0.30 Units
  • NHL: 5-2-2, +3.80 Units
  • NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units

Freedman’s Favorite Super Bowl 53 Announcer Prop Bet: Will Tony Romo or Jim Nantz Mention the Spread? 

  • Yes: +250
  • No: -400

I won’t deny it: I’m on a cold streak. I haven’t highlighted a winning prop since Sunday. There were a couple of bad beats in there — but winners don’t make excuses, and this announcer prop is going to make us winners (I think).

Super Bowl 53 (Feb. 3, 6:30 p.m. ET, CBS) is still over a week away, but I can’t resist jumping on the props for the big game.

I like a lot of the random non-player props, but I never invest much in them because very rarely do they offer an edge. But this prop is an exception. It looks very investable.

Action Network Senior Executive Producer Darren Rovell recently reported that the policy for CBS Sports is to not discuss gambling information on air. At least that’s what CBS Sports chief Sean McManus said when answering a question about whether sports betting would be mentioned during the Super Bowl broadcast.

So if Romo or Nantz mentions the spread, he will be directly going against company policy, which doesn’t seem like something either of them would do. Both Romo and Nantz have handled themselves with full professionalism throughout their broadcasting careers.

What are the odds that Romo and Nantz won’t talk about the spread? I’d say 90% at least. Probably more like 95%. Maybe even 98%.

It’s possible that Romo or Nantz could refer to the spread indirectly by saying something like, “Some people think that the Rams are underdogs because they don’t have the experience the Patriots do on this stage.”

But even a comment like that is benign: It fails to mention explicitly the number of points separating the two teams as well as the betting market that has created that number.

I usually don’t like paying a lot of juice, but you got to take the bets with positive expected value when you can get them.

I’d bet on “No” all the way to -800.

The Pick: No (-400)


Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.