Updated Super Bowl 53 Odds: Little Movement Following Week 12 Results
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady.
- The Saints' win over the Falcons propelled their Super Bowl 53 odds from +200 to +175.
- Though they didn't play in Week 12, the Rams fell to +350, tying them with Kansas City for the second-best odds.
- Minnesota's big divisional win over the Packers helped their chances, while Green Bay slipped to 100-1.
With just a handful of games remaining for each team, we pretty much know who’s who.
A big win over the Cardinals isn’t going to boost the Chargers’ Super Bowl odds. A Chase Daniel-led victory over the Lions isn’t going to improve the Bears’ chances of toppling the Saints or Rams, either.
Odds changes over this past week were quite tame with no team’s implied odds moving more than a few percentage points.
All odds via the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Nov. 26 at 2 p.m. ET. Click on the date to sort.
New Orleans Saints: +200 to +175 (+3.1% Implied Probability)
The Saints somehow felt a little disappointing on Thanksgiving. Only 31 points and a two-touchdown victory? A bit pedestrian, no?
Following another win, they’ve tied the Rams for the best record in the NFL and have the head-to-head victory to give New Orleans home-field advantage in the NFC.
The Saints do have some tough games down the stretch, though. Of their five remaining games, only one should be a layup (at the Bucs). The other four games include:
- Road game against Cowboys
- Both games against Panthers
- Home game against Steelers
The Rams have only one game that should be challenging (at Chicago) so we could certainly see Los Angeles enter the playoffs as the favorite if the Saints don’t win out.
New England Patriots: +800 to +700 (+1.4% IP)
The Pats covered vs. the Jets, but it wasn’t exactly in impressive fashion. They were tied in the second half against Josh McCown and the Jets, so I don’t really care what the final score was.
This move can be attributed to the Steelers’ loss to the Broncos more than anything else, which bumps New England up in the AFC playoff picture.
The Pats travel to Pittsburgh in a Week 15 game that could determine which team gets a bye week.
Minnesota Vikings: +5000 to +3000 (+1.2% IP)
The Vikings held off the Packers in a crucial win last night, but they still have a tough road remaining. They visit New England and Seattle in the next two weeks and finish their season against the Bears.
Minnesota will likely need some help from Chicago if it wants to win the division. Regardless, the Vikes have a very difficult road through the NFC if they want to reach the big dance.
Los Angeles Rams: +300 to +350 (-2.8% IP)
Ironically, the biggest “faller” of the week didn’t even play. As I mentioned before, the Rams’ remaining schedule is much easier than the Saints’.
I would give LA a much better shot of winning all five than New Orleans, though both definitely have the ability to pull it off. At current prices, I imagine LA is getting much more action than New Orleans.
Pittsburgh Steelers: +600 to +700 (-1.8% IP)
Perhaps the hardest remaining schedule of the contenders belongs to Pittsburgh.
It’ll be a slight favorite vs. the Chargers this week and will likely be the same vs. the Pats, but will surely be underdogs at New Orleans in Week 16.
The Steelers are lucky that they’ve gotten a leg up in the division because there could easily be a few more losses left on their schedule.
Green Bay Packers: +5000 to +10000 (-1% IP)
Is the Mike McCarthy era over? Many people are calling for his job, and even the announcers on Sunday Night Football alluded to some change being afoot.
The Packers have relied on Aaron Rodgers to lead them to victory all season, but even he botched a wide open TD pass in the latter stages of the game.
At just 4-6-1, the Packers have a few teams they’ll need to pass over to eke into the playoffs. Their remaining schedule isn’t bad at all, but a game in Chicago in Week 15 could end up being the dagger.