BlackJack’s Super Bowl 53 Betting Extravaganza: Props, Moneyline Pick, More
Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: James White
- It's time to cash some Super Bowl 53 tickets, brother.
- BlackJack Fletcher breaks down his favorite prop bets -- plus a moneyline pick -- for Rams-Patriots.
This is it, brother. This is the whole enchilada.
The Patriots are heading to their ninth Super Bowl in this surreal run. The Rams are back for the first time since New England defeated them to kick this dynasty off in 2002. We’ve got the greatest living American in Tom Brady and the apple of everyone’s eye in Sean McVay.
I can’t wait for this game to start. But before it does, we need to get our bets in so we can savor the game and cash those tickets when it’s over.
Tom Brady Not to Throw an Interception (-110)
Brady threw only 11 interceptions all season and is even more careful in the playoffs. I think he got the interceptions out of his system in the AFC Championship Game against Kansas City.
Also, in two playoff games, the Rams only have one interception.
James White Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Sony Michel is rightfully the focus of most of the coverage of New England’s rushing attack. He’s young and has a tough running style, and has had two great playoff games.
But don’t sleep on James White.
White has been through the battles with this team. He’s scored big touchdowns in Super Bowls. He’s trusted, which is something that matters on Bill Belichick-coached teams.
This total is so low that one good run could hit the over.
Sony Michel to Score a Touchdown (-120)
Michel has been a huge part of the Pats offense in their two playoff games.
He has a bruising running style that can wear a defense down. And he’s especially dangerous in goal to go situations and should be used heavily in those spots.
Don't Be An Idiot…
— The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) January 31, 2019
Aaron Donald to Win MVP Award (+1800)
I think the Patriots are going to win this game and Brady will win the MVP, but if you think the Rams have a chance, this pick offers tremendous value.
The way to beat the Patriots in a Super Bowl is to get pressure on Brady and make him uncomfortable.
If anyone can do that, it’s Donald.
Donald had more sacks than any interior lineman in NFL history this season and is a master of the strip sack. If he has a big game in a Rams win, this could be an unbelievable value pick.
The Patriots to Have More First Downs (-110)
The Rams actually outpaced the Pats in first downs over the regular season, but I like New England in this game.
The Patriots are running the ball more, and when they do go to the air, it generally is short and underneath. They’re a methodical, ball control offense. That type of play should accumulate a lot of first downs, whereas the Rams have more explosive playmakers and could move the chains less.
Patriots ML (-135)
The Rams have had a very impressive season. And from top to bottom, they’re the more talented and athletic team. But that isn’t what this is about.
The Patriots build great teams by finding guys who can play a role in their system and do it to perfection.
They also have the experience factor.
Sometimes it takes guys a little while to settle in when they haven’t been in a Super Bowl before. We don’t know how Jared Goff will respond to the pressure of the moment. But we do know how Brady will respond.
There’s also an edge to this Patriots team that cannot be overstated: They are totally bought in to this underdog mentality, much the way the Eagles were last season. They’re dangerous and angry. I can’t see this team losing two Super Bowls in a row.
Don’t mess with the points; the Pats tend to play close games in Super Bowls, so just lay the short price.
Let’s get ready for game day, brother. Make sure to stay tuned for live updates from our team all day Sunday.
Let’s cash these tickets, baby!