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Super Bowl 53 Odds Entering Wild Card Weekend

Dec 31, 2018 9:57 PM EST
Credit:

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chicago Bears linebacker Khalil Mack

  • The Saints (+225) have dropped a fair deal since last week, but it's likely a readjustment based on the market rather than their Week 17 loss.
  • The Patriots (+500) and Bears (+900) both looked strong enough to boost their implied odds a couple percentage points.
  • The Eagles, who were 200-1 a few weeks back, are now 30-1 after sneaking in as the No. 6 seed.

The NFL playoff picture is finally set in stone. Unfortunately for the Steelers, there was no tie on Sunday Night Football, as the Colts took care of the Titans in fairly easy fashion.

With that said, Super Bowl LIII odds have been re-posted as we know the full schedule for wild-card weekend.

Here’s the latest update, as well as every team’s odds each week throughout the season.

All odds via the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday at 8:30 p.m. ET. Click on the date to sort.

Risers

New England Patriots: +600 to +500 (+2.4% Implied Probability)

For the second consecutive week, the Patriots easily beat one of their lesser AFC East opponents in a noncompetitive game.

This week, however, looked much better than the last one — particularly in the Tom Brady department.

  • Week 16 vs. Bills: 13-24, 126 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs
  • Week 17 vs. Jets: 24-33, 250 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs

Both games were never in jeopardy of being lost, but their 35-point win over the Jets will give the Patriots some confidence heading into the playoffs.

New England also secured the first-round bye as expected, but might have to hit the road in a potential AFC Championship Game against the Chiefs.

Chicago Bears: +1200 to +900 (+2.3% IP)

The Bears aren’t quite like the other Super Bowl contenders, but they are proving their defensive prowess should not be overlooked.

Chicago ended the season on a four-game winning streak, allowing just 42 combined points to the Rams, Packers, 49ers and desperate Vikings in the process.

They’ll get the Eagles in the wild-card weekend and try to put an end to any Nick Foles fairy tales.

Philadelphia Eagles: +8000 to +3000 (+2.0% IP)

Speaking of Foles, the Eagles somehow managed to sneak into the playoffs after what was looking like a lost season a few weeks back.

The Eagles reached 200-1. Then they beat the Rams. Then they beat the Texans. Then they beat the Josh Johnson-led Redskins and watched as the Bears finished off the Vikings.

It was an unlikely route to the postseason, but they made it. Now to figure out a way to repeat last season’s performance.


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Fallers

New Orleans Saints: +160 to +225 (-7.7% IP)

Sure, the Saints looked bad against Carolina, but they obviously didn’t need to put their best foot forward.

I don’t think this fall is about their Week 17 performance with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. I believe it’s more of a readjustment than anything, as the oddsmakers probably realized that New Orleans would be tested by the Rams or Bears if the Saints make the NFC Championship Game as well as whatever team they would face in the Super Bowl.

Where the Saints were at +160 was a bit absurd considering their struggles down the stretch, as well as where other books around the market have their odds.

Teams That Were Eliminated

Kind of need to make the playoffs to have a shot at the Super Bowl. The Vikings had been between 30-1 and 50-1 for several weeks in a row, but finally fell out after a disappointing season came to an end.

Pittsburgh, which was among the favorites at +600 just over a month ago, achieved the unthinkable by missing the postseason altogether.

The Titans peaked at 25-1 much earlier in the season, but were never considered to be contenders late in the year, sitting around 100-1 over the past month.

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