Patriots Primed to Close as Most Popular Super Bowl Bet Ever Tracked
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Bill Belichick, Tom Brady
- The New England Patriots (-2.5) are receiving 73% of spread bets against the Los Angeles Rams for Super Bowl 53 as of Sunday morning.
- Using our Bet Labs data, we examine how this one-sided betting ranks all time among Super Bowls.
Late last week, the New England Patriots were on pace to become the most popular Super Bowl bet we’ve ever tracked with 80% of spread bets against the Los Angeles Rams, according to The Action Network’s public betting data.
In most cases of extreme betting splits, the percentages begin to even out as game time approaches and the sample of wagers grows. But while the Rams have attracted a bit more backing over the past nine days, they’re still receiving only 27% of tickets and 29% of real money wagered on the spread as of Sunday morning (see live data here).
According to our Bet Labs software, Super Bowl 48 was the most lopsided championship game we’ve ever tracked, as the Denver Broncos closed with 68% of bets against the Seattle Seahawks.
Here’s a look at closing lines, betting percentages and against-the-spread (ATS) results from Super Bowls 38-52:
As you can see, the Patriots are steamrolling their way to the most popular Super Bowl spread bet, with some wiggle room to spare.
With the line at New England -2.5, there’s no reason to expect big swings in the public betting percentages as kickoff closes in.
However, if oddsmakers finally budge and move the Rams to +3, we might finally see bettors jump on Los Angeles.
Be sure to download The Action Network’s mobile app to track real-time odds and betting percentage for Super Bowl 53.