Super Bowl 53 Cross-Sport Prop Bets: Football and Futbol
Getty Images. Pictured: Arsenal owner Stan Kroenke shaking hands with Mesut Ozil
- My favorite part of the Super Bowl is the plethora of cross-sport prop bets available between the NFL and Premier League.
- Arsenal-Manchester City and Leicester City-Manchester United highlight an exciting Sunday, and I've broken down 5 prop bets including both matches.
If you enjoy both football & futbol, or own teams in both sports like Stan Kroenke (Arsenal and LA Rams), Super Bowl cross-sport prop bets are the perfect combination to keep you entertained this weekend.
Below I’ve compiled all the bets involving the Super Bowl and Premier League matches for Sunday, and whether or not they’re worth wagering on.
Which will be higher?
- Leicester City + Manchester United goals scored (-140) vs. Patriots sacks (+110)
The over/under for Leicester City-Manchester United is listed at 2.5, and recent head-to-head meetings have finished with 3, 4, 2, 3, 5, 2, 2, 4 and 8 combined goals.
United have found their offensive form after sacking Jose Mourinho, so I’d expect to see two or more goals from the home side. But will that be enough to surpass the Patriots sack total, especially if Leicester City get shutout? In its two playoff games this season, New England has 6 total sacks, and the expected total this weekend is around 2.75.
The margins just aren’t wide enough so I don’t see any value in this cross-sport prop bet. If you believe Leicester City-Man United will put up at least 3 goals, you’re better off just taking Over 2.5 in the soccer game (at -110 juice) and not worrying about what happens in the Super Bowl.
- Manchester United goals scored +0.5 (+100) vs. Tom Brady TD passes -0.5 (-120)
In the Super Bowl, Tom Brady has thrown for 1, 3, 2, 1, 2, 4, 2 and 3 TD passes in his eight appearances. However, he only has 2 TD passes this postseason despite throwing for 679 yards. He’s getting the team down the field, but they’ve elected to run it in the endzone rather than pass.
This year’s Super Bowl over/under is the highest in history, so one can expect Brady to throw for 300+ yards once again. Will that translate to TD passes once they’re in the red zone, though?
Manchester United are expected to score around 2 goals against Leicester City, which would put the pressure on Brady having a big day. I would lean toward Manchester United goals here, especially since the bet wins if the totals are the same.
- Leicester City + Manchester United yellow cards (-110) vs. Rams + Patriots sacks (-110)
In recent head-to-head meetings, Leicester City and Man United have combined for 3, 6, 3, 6, 2 and 4 yellow cards, an average of 4 per match.
The Rams and Patriots combined sack over/under is listed at 3.5 (o-135), which basically adjusts to 4 sacks at -110 odds.
Yellow cards aren’t very predictive, and there’s no big animosity between Leicester City and Manchester United, so I don’t see any value in this prop bet.
- Arsenal + Manchester City goals scored (-130) vs. Rams sacks (+100)
With an over/under of 3.5, we could easily see 4+ goals scored between Arsenal and Manchester City. That means that the Rams would need to get to Brady at least 4 times just to push this bet, so I think there’s tremendous value on Arsenal/Man City goals scored at -130 odds.
- Arsenal + Manchester City goals scored -0.5 (-110) vs. Chris Hogan receptions +0.5 (-110)
This one is a little trickier to figure out since it’s so difficult to determine how the Patriots will use certain offensive players. Chris Hogan could play 20 snaps with 0 catches, or be their go-to guy with 10 catches. There’s far too much uncertainty for me, so I wouldn’t touch this prop bet.