- New England Patriots entered the regular season +600 favorites to win Super Bowl LIII at Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
- Chicago Bears' odds to win the Super Bowl shortened from 100-1 to 50-1 after acquiring LB Khalil Mack from the Oakland Raiders before the start of the regular season.
For the third consecutive season, the New England Patriots (+600) enter the regular season as the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy at Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta. When NFL futures opened on Jan. 7 at Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, the Patriots were 5-1 favorites, and the Pittsburgh Steelers were the only other team in the NFL to open with shorter than 10-1 odds.
As of right now, here’s where all the 32 NFL teams stand in reference to their preseason win totals and odds to win Super Bowl LIII.
Let the sweat begin!
All win totals as of Jan. 14, 2019 and all futures entering Conference Championship (via Westgate SuperBook)
A quick explanation on the odds: A $100 bet on +450 odds would return $450, a $100 bet on +1200 odds would return $1,200, etc.
NFL Win Total Tracker
NFL Closing Win Totals
Arizona Cardinals: 6 | Atlanta Falcons: 9.5 | Baltimore Ravens: 8.5
Buffalo Bills: 5.5 | Carolina Panthers: 8.5 Chicago Bears: 7.5
Cincinnati Bengals: 7 | Cleveland Browns: 6 | Dallas Cowboys: 8.5
Denver Broncos: 7 | Detroit Lions: 7.5 | Green Bay Packers: 10
Houston Texans: 8.5 | Indianapolis Colts: 7.5 | Jacksonville Jaguars: 9
Kansas City Chiefs: 8.5 | Los Angeles Chargers: 9.5 | Los Angeles Rams: 10
Miami Dolphins: 6.5 | Minnesota Vikings: 10 | New England Patriots: 11
New Orleans Saints: 9.5 | New York Giants: 7 | New York Jets: 6
Oakland Raiders: 7.5 | Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5 | Pittsburgh Steelers: 10.5
San Francisco 49ers: 8.5 | Seattle Seahawks: 7.5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6.5
Tennessee Titans: 8 | Washington Redskins: 7
New England Patriots
Not only did the Patriots open the season as favorites to win the Super Bowl for the third consecutive season, but their preseason win total of 11 means they are the only franchise since 2016 to have a preseason win total of 11 or more, a feat which they have accomplished in each of the past two seasons (12.5 in 2017).
Entering the regular season at Westgate, the Bears’ odds to win Super Bowl LIII shortened the most of any team in the NFL, moving from 100-1 at the end of August to 60-1 the morning of Sep. 1. The Bears moved down to 50-1 after news spread of their acquisition of pass-rusher Khalil Mack from the Oakland Raiders.
The Bears were tied for the 22nd-best odds to win the Super Bowl at 50-1, and their win total of 6.5 (over: -160 | under: +140) as of the end of August shifted a full win to 7.5 (over: +115 | under: -135). Chicago entered the regular season with the same win total as NFC North rival Detroit Lions (7.5).
Since NFL over/unders opened, only six teams’ win totals have dropped by at least 0.5 wins: the Bills, 49ers, Panthers, Seahawks, Lions and Raiders. The Bills’ over/under opened at 6.5 (over: -130 | under: +110) but has since dropped by one full win to 5.5 (over: +120 | under: -140), where it closed.
The Bills’ over/under of 5.5 is their lowest since 2011, when they also had a win total of just 5.5 and managed to squeak out 6 wins.
Moving in the opposite direction were the Indianapolis Colts. Andrew Luck and Co.’s over/under opened at 6.5 (over: +110 | under: -130) and closed all the way up to a total of 7.5 (over: +110 | under: -130). The Colts joined the Chicago Bears as the only teams to see their season total move a full win this offseason.
The news of Andrew Luck throwing the football for the first time in what seems like a decade was enough to entice bettors to hop on the Colts bandwagon in the AFC South. Still, the Colts win total of 7.5 was their lowest with Andrew Luck at the helm (and since 2012).
Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers
Eleven NFL teams had odds of 20-1 or better to win the Super Bowl. Of those 11 teams, only the Los Angeles Rams (20-1 to 9-1) and Los Angeles Chargers (30-1 to 12-1) saw their shorten by half since opening.
The Rams were a popular bet this offseason after acquiring big-name players such as Brandin Cooks, Aqib Talib, Marcus Peters and Ndamukong Suh.
The Chargers have seemingly benefited from the Oakland Raiders trading away Khalil Mack, going from 16-1 to 12-1 to win it all.