For the third consecutive season, the New England Patriots (+600) enter the regular season as the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy at Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta. When NFL futures opened on January 7 at Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, the Patriots were 5-1 favorites, with the Pittsburgh Steelers as the only other team in the NFL to open with shorter than 10-1 odds.
>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.
As of right now, here’s where all the 32 NFL teams stand in reference to their preseason win totals and odds to win Super Bowl LIII.
Let the sweat begin!
All data entering Aug. 13
NFL Odds Tracker
Odds and Ends
New England Patriots
Not only did the Patriots open the season as favorites to win the Super Bowl for the third consecutive season, but their preseason win total of 11 means they are the only franchise since 2016 to have a preseason win total of 11 or more, and they have accomplished the feat in each of the last two seasons (12.5 in 2017). The juice on New England’s over has jumped from -120 to -160 since opening back in January.
New York Giants
Since the NFL futures market opened up at Westgate, no team’s odds to win Super Bowl LIII have shortened more than the New York Football Giants. After opening at 60-1 to win the title, New York is down to 25-1, going from the 25th-highest ranked team to the middle of the pack at 15th.
The health of Odell Beckham Jr., the drafting of Saquon Barkley and the fact that they helped solidify their offensive line has inspired bettors to visit the window thinking 2007 (30-1 entering the regular season) and 2011 (22-1 entering the regular season) are repeatable scenarios for Big Blue.
Since NFL over/unders opened, only four teams’ win totals have dropped a half-win (Bills, 49ers, Seahawks and Lions) … and none have experienced a juice adjustment quite the way Buffalo’s number has. The Bills over/under opened 6.5 (over: -130 | under: +110), but since has dropped to 6 (over: +120 | under: -140). The Bills current over/under of 6 is their lowest since 2011, when they had a win total of just 5.5 and managed to squeak out 6 wins for over bettors.
Moving in the opposite direction are the Indianapolis Colts. Andrew Luck and Co.’s over/under opened at 6.5 (over: +110 | under: -130) and now is up to a total of 7.5 (over: +110 | under: -130). The Colts are the only NFL team this offseason to see their season total move a full win. The news of Andrew Luck throwing the football for the first time in what seems like a decade is enough to entice bettors to hop on the Colts bandwagon in the AFC South. Still, the Colts win total of 7.5 is their lowest with Andrew Luck at the helm (and since 2012).
Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Rams
Fourteen NFL teams currently own odds of 20-1 or better to win the Super Bowl. Of those 14 teams, only the Tennessee Titans (40-1 to 20-1) and Los Angeles Rams (20-1 to 10-1) have shortened by half since opening. The Rams have been a popular bet after acquiring such big-name players as Brandin Cooks, Aqib Talib, Marcus Peters and Ndamukong Suh. In Tennessee, the talk has been all about the former Patriots with new head coach Mike Vrabel and the additions of RB Dion Lewis and CB Malcolm Butler.