2022 Super Bowl Odds, Picks, Predictions: Why Experts Are Betting Titans, Bucs, 49ers Before Playoffs Kick Off
Getty Images. Pictured: 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan, Titans RB Derrick Henry, Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski
Now that the NFL playoffs are set, which 2022 Super Bowl odds are worth betting?
Two of our experts reveal the three bets they’re adding to their portfolios before the Wild Card Round kicks off below. Note that we’ve included which sportsbook has the best odds for each pick as of writing on Thursday, but be sure to shop for the best line.
2022 Super Bowl Odds
New to betting? The Packers’ +400 odds to win the 2022 Super Bowl mean a $100 bet would net a $400 profit if they win the Lombardi Trophy. Use our Betting Odds Calculator to convert odds into probabilities and more.
Simon Hunter: We have the rare chance to bet on a 1-seed that was unhealthy all season and returns its best offense weapons for the playoffs.
With Derrick Henry expected to return and the Titans getting an extra week of rest with the first-round bye, we’re getting extra value on a team the public doesn’t believe in. And with having to win only two home games to make the Super Bowl, we have to take a 1-seed with odds greater than +500.
I would have the Titans as 3-point underdogs against the Chiefs if they both reach the AFC Championship Game, but I make the Titans a favorite against every other team in the conference.
This would also be an easy position to hedge out of it the Titans make the big game.
Brandon Anderson: I wrote about my two favorite sleepers — the 49ers and the Patriots — in our Super Bowl odds draft. They’re the two best values on the board by a wide margin, but they’re also longshots to win it, even if there’s real value on their numbers.
If I want to make a play on a future with a much better chance of hitting, it’s an easy choice for me. The Bucs look like a serious value at +800 with an implied probability of 11% when I consider I would make them the third favorite at a price closer to +550 with an implied probability north of 15% (convert more odds here).
That’s a serious edge.
We know Tampa Bay has the best roster. We knew that coming into the season. All that has changed is that this team has been crushed by injuries (and one departure). But drawing Philadelphia in the Wild Card Round is a huge relief because it’s about as close to a bye as you get in the NFC, giving Tampa one more week to get healthier.
I love the likely second-round draw, too, since I expect the Niners to beat the Cowboys then head to Green Bay to take on the Packers. That would mean the Bucs would be at home against the overrated Rams or Cardinals — and would potentially put the Bucs in the NFC Championship Game without even having to play a team I think is capable of beating them.
Chris Godwin ain’t walking through that door and the secondary remains beatable, but Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul are back while Lavonte David looks likely, and Leonard Fournette should play. The Bucs blew their chances at the 1-seed a few weeks ago, but the upside was that they got to coast through the final few weeks against bad teams while mostly in neutral and resting key players to get healthy.
I like the 49ers’ chances against the Packers, too, in a potential Divisional Round matchup. That could set up the Bucs for a NFC Championship at home. And, of course, we know the Bucs match up well with the Chiefs should both return to the Super Bowl.
These odds are just too low. The Bucs have the most talent and a quarterback who is basically been a coin-flip to make the Super Bowl for the last two decades.
Maybe they’ll never get healthy enough, but it will take a whale of an effort for anyone to beat them.
Simon Hunter: We’re getting a team that has a coach and quarterback who went to Super Bowl together just two seasons ago at 25-1 odds.
The 49ers have a better offensive and defensive line now, and have seen huge growth in George Kittle and Debo Samuel. They can also control games by running the ball, and the NFC is prime for a run-dominant team to run through it — the Packers, Bucs and Cowboys all struggled against the run at the tail end of the season.
Look for the 49ers to shock the world and go on another Super Bowl run.