Bucs-Falcons Betting Preview: Trust Jameis Winston in His First Start of the Season?

Oct 14, 2018 10:00 AM EDT
Credit:

Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) drops back as Atlanta Falcons defensive tackle Grady Jarrett (97) pressures during the first half at Raymond James Stadium.

Betting odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

  • Spread: Falcons -3
  • Over/Under: 57
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: One of the more interesting lines of the week, 66% of bettors are backing the Falcons. Sportsbooks are basically split 50/50 as to where they have the line, with half posting Atlanta -3 (-120 range) and the other half posting Atlanta -3.5 (+100 range).

There hasn’t been enough sharp action on either side to cause much line movement, but it’s not surprising that two-thirds of bettors are backing Atlanta as such a small home favorite in Jameis Winston’s first start back with the Bucs. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: After losing three straight, the Falcons are small favorites at home. But Matt Ryan has underperformed in this situation during his career.

As a small favorite of fewer than three points, Ryan is 6-17-1 against the spread, including the playoffs, according to our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

The Buccaneers are coming off of a bye ahead of their matchup with the Falcons. Since 2003, teams coming off a bye have a distinct split against the spread as an underdog compared to when they are favored when facing a divisional opponent.

  • As a favorite: 48-36-2 ATS (+10.4 units, 57.1%)
  • As an underdog: 32-47-1 ATS (-17.2 units, 40.5%) — Evan Abrams

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