Bucs-Falcons Betting Preview: Trust Jameis Winston in His First Start of the Season?
Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston (3) drops back as Atlanta Falcons defensive tackle Grady Jarrett (97) pressures during the first half at Raymond James Stadium.
Betting odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
- Spread: Falcons -3
- Over/Under: 57
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Channel: FOX
>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: One of the more interesting lines of the week, 66% of bettors are backing the Falcons. Sportsbooks are basically split 50/50 as to where they have the line, with half posting Atlanta -3 (-120 range) and the other half posting Atlanta -3.5 (+100 range).
There hasn’t been enough sharp action on either side to cause much line movement, but it’s not surprising that two-thirds of bettors are backing Atlanta as such a small home favorite in Jameis Winston’s first start back with the Bucs. — Mark Gallant
Trends to know: After losing three straight, the Falcons are small favorites at home. But Matt Ryan has underperformed in this situation during his career.
The Buccaneers are coming off of a bye ahead of their matchup with the Falcons. Since 2003, teams coming off a bye have a distinct split against the spread as an underdog compared to when they are favored when facing a divisional opponent.
- As a favorite: 48-36-2 ATS (+10.4 units, 57.1%)
- As an underdog: 32-47-1 ATS (-17.2 units, 40.5%) — Evan Abrams