Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4), running back Ezekiel Elliott (21).
Betting odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
- Spread: Cowboys -7
- Over/Under: 48
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC
>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: Spoiler alert: the public is betting the Cowboys. Sixty-seven percent of spread bets are taking Dallas, but 63% of actual dollars wagered are on the Bucs (check out the live data here).
This line was at -7 for most of the week, but a vig of -115 has pushed the Cowboys to -7.5 at some books. — PJ Walsh
Trends to Know: Dallas was shut out 23-0 in Indianapolis in Week 15. It is rare for teams with a winning record to go scoreless in a game: The Cowboys are just the 24th team to do it since 2003.
According to our Bet Labs data, the previous 23 teams went 11-11-1 against the spread in their next game.
Under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys are 4-8-1 ATS following an outing where they scored fewer than 10 points. — John Ewing
This week, one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, the Cowboys (19.2 points per game), will face one of the worst defensive teams in the league in the Buccaneers (28.8 PPG).
Since 2003, when a team is allowing fewer than 20 PPG, faces a team allowing over 28 PPG, the better defensive team has struggled against the spread, going 8-15-2 (34.8%) in this spot. — Evan Abrams
The Bucs have really struggled on offense the past two weeks scoring 14 points or fewer in back-to-back games.
Since 2003, teams that have scored 14 points or fewer in consecutive games, facing a team allowing fewer than 20 PPG in December or later, are 41-27-1 ATS (60.3%).
Since 2010, those teams are 16-8-1 ATS (66.7%) and have covered the spread by 3.4 PPG. — Abrams
Playoff picture: Dallas can officially clinch the NFC East with a win. Doing so would almost certainly lock the Cowboys into the 4-seed, as they’re two games behind the Bears. — Scott T. Miller