Titans-Texans MNF Betting Preview: Will Houston’s Luck Run Out vs. Tennessee?
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Marcus Mariota, J.J. Watt
Betting odds: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
- Spread: Texans -3.5
- Over/Under: 41.5
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: This is perhaps the biggest sharp vs. square matchup of the week.
After opening between -5.5 and -6.5, the Texans have fallen to -3.5/-4 around the market, despite getting two-thirds of spread bets while the Titans are getting half of the dollars despite the public not being on their side.
Trends to know: NFL spreads are influenced by recent performance, and the Titans are likely being undervalued by the public following their 38-10 loss to the Colts last week.
Since 2003, teams that lost their previous game by 20 or more points have actually 415-348-17 (54%) against the spread, per our Bet Labs data.
If their next game is on the road, these teams have gone 187-147-6 (56%) ATS because home-field advantage is often overvalued. — John Ewing