Titans-Giants Betting Preview: Nasty Weather Looms in the Meadowlands

Titans-Giants Betting Preview: Nasty Weather Looms in the Meadowlands article feature image
Credit:

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning (10).

Betting odds: Tennessee Titans at New York Giants

  • Spread: Giants -1
  • Over/Under: 43.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: The public isn’t completely sold on the Giants as favorites against the Titans, but with 45% of bets at the time of writing, they’re getting a bit more support than I would have guessed (see live data here).

But the Titans are getting much more money (72%), which explains why the line dipped down to Giants -1. — Mark Gallant

Weather report: The forecast at MetLife is looking like perhaps the sloppiest of the weekend. The temperature will be hovering right around 40 degrees and chances of rain are around 70%.

In addition, winds will be averaging around 14 mph, something that, of course, favors the under. — Gallant

Trends to know: The Giants are on a winning streak. Since 2003, teams on a winning streak that have won fewer than 40% of their games, like the Giants, have gone 36-38-1 against the spread in their next game.

If that team is favored, however, the record jumps to 16-8-1 ATS, according to our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

The Titans played on Thursday Night Football last week at home against the Jaguars and will be playing on extended rest.

In his career, Manning has faced a team coming off more than a week of rest 58 times and he is 36-20-2 ATS (64.3%), profiting bettors 14.5 units.

In the Bet Labs database, he is the most profitable quarterback in the NFL in this spot, ahead of his brother Peyton by almost two full units. — Evan Abrams

Did you know? The Titans are coming off a game where they bottled up the Jaguars’ rushing game for only 60 yards on the ground. Tennessee now faces Saquon Barkley on the road in New York.

Over the past two seasons, when Eli Manning is the quarterback and his opponent allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in the previous game, the Giants are just 2-7 ATS, failing to cover the spread by 9.6 points per game.

Over that span, only DeShone Kizer has been a less profitable quarterback to bettors in this spot. — Abrams

Biggest mismatch: Titans secondary vs. Giants passing game

Manning has looked solid in recent matchups vs. the 49ers, Buccaneers and Redskins, but the clock might be ready to strike midnight on the Giants’ second-half fairy-tale run against the Titans’ fourth-ranked scoring defense.

Corners Adoree’ Jackson (PFF’s No. 28 overall CB) and Logan Ryan (No. 35) join safeties Kevin Byard (No. 10) and Kenny Vaccaro (No. 44) among PFF’s top-50 defensive backs at their position this season.

The Giants boast one of the week’s worst combined net yards per pass attempt rate. The potential absence of Odell Beckham (quad) would obviously exacerbate these problems. Ian Hartitz

Which team is healthier? Titans

Both teams are eerily healthy entering this Week 15 matchup. The only key Titans thought to be at risk of missing game action include No. 3 receiver Tajae Sharpe (ankle) and tight end Cole Wick (shoulder), while the Giants are only dealing with injuries to tight end Rhett Ellison (ankle) and Beckham (quad).

Note: Info as of 6 p.m. ET Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff. — Hartitz

DFS edge: The Giants haven’t asked Janoris Jenkins to shadow a wide receiver since Week 4. PFF has graded Jenkins and B.W. Webb as the league’s No. 41 and No. 64 best cornerbacks this season, respectively.

Corey Davis is more than capable of smoking them both, but we haven’t seen the Titans’ No. 1 receiver get very consistent volume over the past month.

Davis saw fewer than five targets in three of his past four games after surpassing that threshold in seven of his first nine games. Life as the No. 1 receiver on the league’s second-most pass-adverse offense has Davis as the PPR WR24 entering Week 15.

Davis costs $5,600 on DraftKings and carries a brutal 0.3-point projected floor. — Hartitz

Bet to watch: Under 43.5

Tennessee struggles on offense, ranking 23rd overall in Football Outsiders’ DVOA and just 24th in passing offense. The Giants are better at 14th overall and 16th through the air, but Beckham is reportedly expected to miss the game which should seriously handcuff New York’s explosiveness.

The Giants and Titans are also two of the slower teams in the league, ranking 19th and 25th, respectively, in situation-neutral pace.

And finally, the weather should make big plays in the passing game even more challenging as the forecast is calling for steady 14-mph winds and a decent chance of rain, specifically during the second half of the game. PJ Walsh


Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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