Updated Bills vs. Chiefs Odds: Patrick Mahomes Toe Injury Moving AFC Championship Game Spread

Updated Bills vs. Chiefs Odds: Patrick Mahomes Toe Injury Moving AFC Championship Game Spread article feature image
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Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

Bills vs. Chiefs Odds

Bills Odds +3 (-120)
Chiefs Odds -3 (+100)
Over/Under 54.5
PRO Projections Chiefs -2.2 | O/U: 54.6
Time | Channel  6:40 p.m. ET | CBS
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Apparently a toe injury that could require offseason surgery to the NFL’s best quarterback is enough to move a betting line.

The spread for today’s Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Game has remained at Kansas City -3 for most of the weekend, but news of Patrick Mahomes’ turf toe has been enough to convince bettors that Buffalo and the points is the right side of tonight’s matchup.

While Mahomes does plenty of damage from the pocket, his ability to avoid pressure and extend plays and/or gain yardage with his legs makes him truly elite and Andy Reid’s offense one of the toughest to defend in the NFL.

This is largely the reason why the Bills vs. Chiefs spread has now dipped off 3 to 2.5 at a handful of sportsbooks (click here for the latest AFC Championship Game odds), the most important number in NFL spread betting.

Considering 14.8% of NFL games have finished with a margin of victory of three points since 2003, the most recent adjustment from Chiefs -3 to -2.5 is extremely significant.

So be sure to shop for Chiefs -2.5 if that’s the side you like, or lock in Bills +3 if you prefer the road underdogs.

According to the latest NFL betting trends, 54% of tickets and dollars wagered on the spread have come in on the Bills.

 

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