Vikings vs. Saints Sharp Betting Pick: Late Money Driving Significant Wild Card Odds Movement
Hannah Foslien/Getty Images. Pictured: Vikings fan
- Late money has driven the Vikings vs. Saints spread into uncharted territory.
- We analyze how action from respected bettors is forcing oddsmakers to make major adjustments to this line as kickoff approaches (1:05 p.m. ET).
Betting activity for today’s Vikings vs. Saints wild-card matchup remained relatively quiet throughout the week, as the spread bounced between New Orleans -7.5 and -8 a handful of times.
At the time of writing, 64% of bettors are laying the points with the Saints, indicating that public bettors expect Kirk Cousins to once again struggle in a high-profile matchup against a quality opponent.
Odds as of Sunday at 11:45 a.m. ET. Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet of up to $500.
Until Sunday morning, sharps had yet to make their opinions known regarding this spread, but that all changed when an influx of professional money flooded the market at around 11:30 a.m. ET, forcing oddsmakers to make a major adjustment to the Vikings vs. Saints line.
Vikings vs. Saints Sharp Betting Pick
As mentioned, the majority of spread bets are on the Saints and so is actual money — 65% of dollars are backing Sean Payton’s team.
But for the first time since odds for this game opened, action from respected bettors drove this line to Saints -7 at a handful of influential sportsbooks, which is significant considering the importance of the number 7 in NFL betting.
According to PointsBet’s Matt Chaprales, his shop is seeing similar action.
“Vikings liability is beginning to mount. Public has pounded the moneyline all week to the tune of 85% of the tickets and 70% of the money. And we’ve seen a wave of Vikings money on the side this morning, including sharp action. Big decision looming,” Chaprales said.
There are still plenty of books still offering 7.5, but this movement reveals that books are already heavy with Vikings money, some so much that they’re willing to hang -7 in hopes of attracting New Orleans backers in order to offset the building Minnesota liability.