Redskins-Cardinals Betting Preview: The Over/Under Bet to Consider

Redskins-Cardinals Betting Preview: The Over/Under Bet to Consider article feature image
Credit:

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: David Johnson

Betting odds: Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals

  • Spread: Cardinals -1.5
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets.


Betting market: This game opened as a pick’em in April and did not move off that number until Wednesday when Arizona money finally hit the market, moving the line to Cardinals -1.5 at the time of writing. — PJ Walsh

Trends to know: Have bettors forgotten who is playing quarterback in Arizona? Sam Bradford is 40-40 ATS in his career, perfectly mediocre.

But when the line moves in his direction, Bradford’s teams have gone 11-21 (34%) ATS. — John Ewing

Injury watch: The Redskins are healthy for once, as TE Jordan Reed (toe), WR Jamison Crowder (groin) and RB Chris Thompson (leg) aren’t even listed on the injury report.

The same can’t be said for the Cardinals, as they boast question marks along the offensive line with center A.Q. Shipley (knee, IR) sidelined and TE Jermaine Gresham (Achilles) very questionable.

Things are even worse on the defensive front, considering DT Robert Nkemdiche (foot), DT Corey Peters (knee), and DE Markus Golden (knee) aren’t guaranteed to suit up. — Ian Hartitz

DFS edge: The Redskins didn’t ask Josh Norman to shadow once last season, and he lined up in the slot on just 38 of his 902 snaps (4.2%).

This means there’s a good chance Norman won’t follow Larry Fitzgerald into the slot Sunday, where Fitzgerald lined up on 51% of his snaps last season.

Fitz’s matchup is made even better by the fact that Washington traded stud slot corner Kendall Fuller, who was tied with Jalen Ramsey as PFF’s second-best cornerback in 2017, to the Chiefs as part of the Alex Smith trade.

Fitzgerald’s $6,600 price tag on DraftKings comes with a strong 10-point projected floor in our Pro Models. — Ian Hartitz

Bet to watch: Both defenses are underrated, and I expect the Cardinals to be very run-heavy with the immobile Bradford playing behind a subpar O-line and against a very solid Washington pass rush.

You should expect a heavy dose of David Johnson against a defense that finished 29th against the run, per Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric.

On the other side, I’m not sure how the Redskins move the ball.

They have major question marks in the backfield after Derrius Guice went down, and it’s not like you can run on the Cardinals anyway. Arizona finished 2017 No. 1 in the NFL in rush defense DVOA.

The cherry on top: This game will feature two quarterbacks who rarely turn it over.

If you like punters, tune in. I like the Under 44Stuckey


Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.