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Redskins-Saints MNF Betting Preview: Who Is Being Overvalued in This Matchup?

Oct 08, 2018 12:00 AM EDT
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Adrian Peterson, Alvin Kamara

Betting odds: Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints

  • Spread: Saints -6
  • Over/Under: 52.5
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: More than 80% of bets are on the over as of Sunday (see live data here), which is pretty common for a game in the Superdome. Since the start of the 2015 season, the over has received at least 70% of bets in 17 of the 26 games played there, and has gone over in 12 of the 17.

The over/under has risen from 51 to 52.5 since opening.

The spread was rather dormant early in the week, sticking at New Orleans -6.5 through Friday. However, the support on Washington — which was around 45% of bets and 60% of dollars on Thursday — has risen to 56% of bets and 73% of dollars as of Sunday.

This increase has pushed the Redskins down from +6.5 to +6 across the market. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Since 2014, Drew Brees and Sean Payton have played 11 games in the Superdome in which the line has moved away from the Saints. They’re 4-7 straight up and 3-7-1 against the spread in such games, failing to cover the spread by 9.4 points per game.

The Saints return to the Superdome after playing back-to-back games on the road. Since coming to New Orleans in 2006, Brees is 16-7 SU and ATS (+8.1 units) at home after playing at least two straight games on the road, making him the NFL’s second-most profitable quarterback in that spot behind only Aaron Rodgers (13-4 ATS). Evan Abrams

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