Freedman: Blues-Bruins Stanley Cup Finals Game 6 Props I’m Betting

Jun 09, 2019 07:05 PM EDT

Joe Puetz, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Patrice Bergeron, Jordan Binnington

  • Matthew Freedman continues his series featuring his favorite prop bets for each day of 2019.
  • On Sunday, he highlights the NHL player props he likes in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals between the St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins.

Each day, I either publish 1-2 pieces on props I like or enter my picks in The Action Network App. See my master list of 2019 prop bets.

In this piece, I highlight my favorite NHL player props for Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals with the St. Louis Blues & Boston Bruins. NOTE: I might update this piece as the market develops.

Early in 2019, I wasn’t sharp on hockey. But in the postseason I’ve had success.

Since I started making my own projections and publishing postseason NHL prop articles, I’m 90-45-7 (+38.18). For the Stanley Cup Finals, I am 28-15-5 (+11.23).

For up-to-the-minute lines, check out our live betting odds page.

Game 6: Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues Betting Odds

  • Bruins: +100
  • Blues: -120
  • Over: 5.0 (-145)
  • Under: 5.0 (+125)
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • TV: NBC

Boston Bruins Player Props

Bruins C Patrice Bergeron: 3.5 Shots on Goal

  • Over 3.5: +105
  • Under 3.5: -135

In general, it’s profitable to bet unders in the Stanley Cup Finals,  and that’s exactly what I’m doing today with player props.

In 87 games (including playoffs), Bergeron is second on the team with 3.25 shots on goal per game. He’s an aggressive player.

But he doesn’t have a good matchup. Even though the Bruins had a whopping 39 shots on goal in Game 5, the Blues are a diligent defensive team. In the regular season, they held opponents to 28.6 shots on goal per game, and in the playoffs, that number has held steady. The Blues are one of the best teams in the league at limiting shots.

Bergeron has averaged three shots per game this series, and I have him projected for 2.97 in Game 6. I’d bet the under to -150.

The Pick: Under 3.5 (-135)

Bruins RW David Pastrnak: 3.5 Shots on Goal

  • Over 3.5: -140
  • Under 3.5: +110

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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