Tom Sczerbowski, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Max Pacioretty
Betting odds: Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres
- Canucks moneyline: +145
- Sabres moneyline: -165
- Over/Under: 6 (-105/-115)
- Puck drop: 1 p.m. ET
>> All odds as of 11 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NHL odds and track your bets
Two surprising teams meet in Buffalo this afternoon and there’s a good bit of value on the underdog.
Buffalo is the better team and their stats reflect that. They have a Corsi For % (CF%) above 50% and produce more expected goals per 60 minutes than they allow. You can’t say either of those things about the first-place Canucks, but they are getting results despite some suspect underlying metrics.
While Buffalo is the better team, these odds are off. At -165 the odds suggest the Sabres have a 62.3% chance of winning while the Canucks’ implied probability is 40.8%. Home-ice advantage accounts for ~3% in the NHL so if you adjust, that would make the Sabres a -145 favorite on neutral ice against Vancouver.
That number is off and I think the Canucks are worth playing down to +140.
The Bet: Vancouver Canucks +145
Betting odds: Vegas Golden Knights at Montreal Canadiens
- Golden Knights moneyline: -110
- Canadiens moneyline: -110
- Over/Under: 5.5 (-115/-105)
- Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET