NHL Betting: Can the Hurricanes Take Advantage of the Blues’ Goaltending Woes?

Nov 06, 2018 5:20 PM EST

This story is usually part of our EDGE subscription but is free for all to read today!


Betting odds: Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

  • Hurricanes moneyline: -105
  • Blues moneyline: -115
  • Over/Under: 6
  • Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET

The Carolina Hurricanes continue to be one of the NHL’s most impressive teams despite their 6-6-2 record.

The Hurricanes lead the NHL with a 60% Corsi rating and generate more High-Danger Chances (15.95) and expected goals (3.17) per 60 minutes at 5v5.  Their defensive metrics are pretty good to as Carolina only gives up 48 shot attempts and 2.08 xG per 60 minutes.

The reason the Canes aren’t winning more is that they’ve run cold shooting the puck — Carolina has scored on just 7.03% of their shot attempts at 5v5 (score + venue adjusted) this season.

On Tuesday night the Hurricanes travel to St. Louis to take on the Blues. St. Louis has struggled through the first month of the season and sit second-to-last in the West at 4-5-3. I was pretty high on the Blues coming into the season and I’m beginning to think I was wrong.

The main problem for St. Louis is in goal where neither Jake Allen (-7.98 Goals Saved Above Average) nor Chad Johnson (-1.14 GSAA) have played well. It’s hard to be confident in either one of these guys to keep St. Louis in a given game.

The rest of St. Louis’ game hasn’t been impressive, either. The Blues have the fifth-worst Corsi rating at 45.5% and give up more High-Danger Chances (11.96 per 60) than they create (10.28 per 60) at 5v5.

This all spells disaster as the Hurricanes should make life very hard on whatever bad goalie is in net for St. Louis on Tuesday night. I think Carolina is a good play up to -120 (54.6%).

The Bet: Carolina Hurricanes -105

Credit:

Kim Klement, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Sebastian Aho

Follow Michael J. Leboff on Twitter
@TheBigLeebowski

Top Stories

THE ACTION NETWORK

Sign up for The Action Network free daily newsletter

The best sports betting trends, insights and news - condensed into a two-minute read.
Sign up today, thank us tomorrow.
Follow Us: @ActionNetworkHQ
Download the App
SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
6
-1.5
6
-1.5