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Top NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday: Henrik Lundqvist Over/Under 32.5 Saves?

Oct 30, 2018 4:42 PM EDT
  • There are 11 NHL games on Tuesday night, and we've used our proprietary tools to evaluate the best player props.
  • Henrik Lundqvist should face a lot of shots against the San Jose Sharks tonight, will he record over 32.5 saves?

We have a nice 11-game slate on Tuesday, so there are plenty of opportunities to look for exploitable prop bets by leveraging our NHL Models and Trends tool at Fantasy Labs, as well as the Bet Labs database.

Here are three props I’m eyeing for Tuesday night, with the first puck drop at 7 p.m. ET.

Note: All lines via Bovada.

Hurricanes G Scott Darling

The pick: Under 26.5 saves (-115)

It’s an aggressive line, but it makes sense to keep hammering the under on saves for Hurricanes goalies.

The Bruins have the seventh-fewest shots for (29.8 per game) and the Hurricanes have the fewest shots against (23.9) to start the season. Darling has our second-lowest save prediction on the slate (21.09), and the Bruins have the second-lowest Corsi for expectation.

This spot sets up well to feel good about going short on saves; sometimes it’s as simple as that. Darling will make his season debut tonight.

Predators LW Filip Forsberg

The pick: Under 3.5 shots on goal (+100)

As we talked about on Tuesday’s Inside the Lab, the Golden Knights-Predators game is shaping up to be one of the slowest-paced matchups on the entire slate, so naturally, it is set up for a lack of shooting volume on both sides for two elite defensive teams.

If you believe in regression, Forsberg looks like a value option worth attacking, averaging 3.83 and 3.08 shots per game over the past 15 days and year, respectively. Vegas has allowed the second-lowest Corsi on the slate over the past month.

Rangers G Henrik Lundqvist

The pick: Over 32.5 saves (-115)

King Henrik stands out in a pretty easy over situation. Our proprietary save-prediction metric has Lundqvist projected for 36.93 saves, easily capturing the slate lead.

New York has allowed the fourth-most shots on goal per game (34.9) in the NHL, and the Sharks get the puck to the net (37.7 shots per game) better than almost any other team in the NHL.

Credit:

Amber Searls, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Henrik Lundqvist

Follow Joe Holka on Twitter
@JoeHolka

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