Minnesota Election Polls & Betting Odds: Biden Huge Favorite Over Trump

Minnesota Election Polls & Betting Odds: Biden Huge Favorite Over Trump article feature image
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Preston Ehrler/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Biden

Minnesota Election Odds

Candidate
Odds
Implied Probability
Joe Biden
-714
81.4%
Donald Trump
+400
18.6%

Odds as of Oct. 16 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, Donald Trump’s +400 odds mean a $100 bet would net $400 if he wins Minnesota. Convert odds using our Betting Odds Calculator. Also note that the implied probabilities above do not include the tax the book charges.


Minnesota Polls

Candidate
FiveThirtyEight Polling Average
Joe Biden
50.6%
Donald Trump
41.5%

538 Minnesota Projection

Candidate
FiveThirtyEight Projection
Joe Biden
92%
Donald Trump
8%

Polling averages and projections as of Oct. 16 and via FiveThirtyEight. Go to their 2020 Election Forecast to learn more.


Minnesota Presidential Race Updates

Friday, Oct. 16: With less than three weeks until Election Day, the betting market gives Joe Biden a 81.4% implied probability of winning Minnesota compared to Donald Trump’s 18.6% implied probability.

FiveThirtyEight’s forecast, which simulates the election 40,000 times, has Biden winning 92 out of every 100 times compared to Biden’s eight. The site’s average of polls reflect that Biden almost has a double-digit advantage in the polls at 50.6% to Trump’s 41.5%.


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Minnesota has 10 of the 538 total electoral votes in the country.

Hillary Clinton won Minnesota over Trump in 2016, taking 46.4% of the vote to the President’s 44.9%. Trump ended up winning 304 of the electoral college votes in 2016 compared to Clinton’s 227.

Minnesota has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since Richard Nixon in 1972.