It is not likely that Manchester City are about to stage a daring comeback against Liverpool in the second leg of their quarterfinal matchup (kickoff 2:45 p.m. ET). They’re priced at +435 (5dimes) to advance, which is a comically short number. Most projection systems have them somewhere around 6% to overcome their 3-0 deficit and pull off the stunning victory.  Liverpool, on the other hand, is a smart but boring choice at a price of -570. That doesn’t mean Pep Guardiola’s team should be discounted entirely, of course. It was only a season ago when Barcelona came back from a 4-0 first leg defeat to stage an epic 6-5 comeback win over Paris-Saint Germain during the Round of 16. These things occasionally happen.

Guardiola has his own history of avoiding elimination in unlikely fashion. In 2016, Guardiola’s Bayern Munich side were down two goals to Juventus heading into the second half of the tie’s second leg. His team scored in the 73rd and 90th minute to force extra time before ultimately winning, 4-2. Three goals seem impossible, but if any team has the firepower to do it, it’s Manchester City.

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