Premier League Props: Can Harry Kane help Tottenham Top United?

Premier League Props: Can Harry Kane help Tottenham Top United? article feature image

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After Tuesday saw Liverpool rebound in style and Arsenal falter once again, what will be the big talking point after Wednesday’s EPL matches?

We take a look at the seven games and pick out a value prop for each to enhance your wagering experience.

Chelsea vs. Bournemouth

2:45 p.m. ET

As you’d expect from a game with a -350 favorite, finding value this matchup is a tough task. The over/under and goals markets don’t offer much in the way of sporting odds, so this is a game where we look to the longer odds of goal scorer.

The biggest value pick is one we’ve highlighted on this site before this season, and we’re going back to the well again this week. Marcos Alonso is the EPL’s highest-scoring defender this season, and he’s tallied twice already in 2018.

VALUE PROP: Marcos Alonso to score at any time @ +220 (William Hill)

Everton vs. Leicester

2:45 p.m. ET

Leicester is in good form, and Everton really isn’t. The Toffees haven’t won a game in any competition since Dec. 18, so Leicester should take at least a point from their visit to Goodison Park on Wednesday night.

Leicester has scored nine goals in their last three games in all competitions, with Kelechi Iheanacho netting four of them. The former Man City striker doesn’t get the same headlines as Jamie Vardy or Riyad Mahrez, but he’s the man driving Leicester’s offense right now.

VALUE PROP: Kelechi Iheanacho to score at any time at +200 (William Hill, Bovada)

Newcastle vs. Burnley

2:45 p.m. ET

Newcastle has lost its last two, but Burnley has lost its last four. Someone’s going to pick up a result this weekend. But where’s the value?

Newcastle is in turmoil on and off the field, while Burnley is looking to right the ship after a recent losses to Manchester United, Crystal Palace, Man City (in the FA Cup) and Liverpool. They also faced Spurs (loss) and United (draw) over the Christmas period.

Burnley won’t be facing the same caliber of opposition this week; accordingly, they should be able to re-establish their road discipline and claim a narrow win.

Ashley Barnes has been Burnley’s leading light in front of goal during an otherwise difficult spell. And, in a game likely to be decided by a single goal, taking him to open the scoring looks like a good value bet. He’s +550 with William Hill, but Bovada offers an even better price, at +800.

VALUE PROP: Ashley Barnes to score first at +800 (Bovada)

Southampton vs. Brighton

2:45 p.m. ET

Southampton returns to action with all eyes on the club’s brand new record signing.

Argentine striker Guido Carrillo worked with current Southampton manager Mauricio Pellegrino before at Estudiantes and experienced his most prolific season in front of goal.

Now he’s set to make his Premier League debut against a Brighton side whose recent form is as poor as Southampton’s.

But, as the old adage says: “Goals change games,” and Carrillo might just be the man to make the difference on his debut.

VALUE PROP: Guido Carrillo to score and Southampton to win at +225 (William Hill)

Manchester City vs. West Brom

3:00 p.m. ET

After not winning a game since late August, West Brom has suddenly discovered some form. They’re unbeaten in four straight in all competitions, including a priceless win over West Brom. They also knocked Liverpool out of the FA Cup at Anfield.

Jay Rodriguez has scored five out of his last six for the Baggies, but he faces a tall order against City, which is back in form after their 4-3 loss at Liverpool on Jan. 14.

In their seven games in all competitions in 2018, City has scored an astonishing 20 goals, netting at least twice in each game.

I like the odds on them continuing that run, with 3-0 standing out as the best value pick among the correct score markets.

VALUE PROP: Manchester City to win 3-0 @ +550 (William Hill)

Stoke vs. Watford

3:00 p.m. ET

They’re only three points apart, but one of these teams looks comfortable in middle of the EPL standings, while the other is languishing in the relegation zone. So this clash at the Britannia Stadium is huge for both teams’ prospects of avoiding the drop this season.

I’m not expecting many goals, though, so look to back the under.

VALUE PROP: Under 2.5 goals @ -105 (William Hill)

Tottenham vs. Manchester United

3:00 p.m. ET

I like the look of Tottenham against United here. They’re in excellent form and have a striker at the pinnacle of his game.

Harry Kane has scored 13 goals in his last eight games, including goals in each of his last four appearances.

William Hill is running a special enhanced odds bet on Kane scoring in a Tottenham win, and I like it.

VALUE PROP: Harry Kane to score and Tottenham to win @ +300 (William Hill)