Sunday Bundesliga Odds, Picks: How to Bet Werder Bremen vs. Wolfsburg (Sunday, June 7)
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Werder Bremen vs. Wolfsburg Odds
- Werder Bremen Odds: +260
- Wolfsburg Odds: +100
- Draw Odds: +250
- Over/Under: 2.5 (-117/-107)
- Time: Sunday June 7th, at 7:30am ET
- TV: FS1
Two teams with much different aspirations meet at the Weser Stadium early Sunday morning. Werder Bremen look destined for relegation, while Wolfsburg are trying to secure Europa League football for next season.
With only 5 games to go time is running for both squads to get much needed points.
The streak continues for Werder Bremen after their mid-week loss to Frankfurt. Die Werderaner hasn’t won a game at home in 275 days, with only one lone win at the Weser Stadium this season.
Weder Bremen is two points below Fortuna Dusseldorf for the relegation playoffs spot and can’t afford to drop any more points. However, things have not gone well for Die Werderaner when they face the top of the table.
Against the top six teams in the table, Werder Bremen has only managed to earn six of a possible 30 points.
They’ve been dominated in those 10 matchups, shown by a -14.37 expected goal differential.
One the main reason’s Werder Bremen has struggled this season is creating chances. Since the Bundesliga returned to play, Die Werdernaner have only created one big chance (35% probability or higher) in five matches.
This has been the case for Werder Bremen all season long as they have a Bundesliga worst 1.01 xGF per game. It will be tough sledding for Die Werdernaner to get a result going up against one of the best defensive teams in the Bundesliga.
Wolfsburg have been up and down since the Bundesliga returned winning twice on the road, but losing twice at home. Die Wölfe have been on fire away from Volkswagen Arena over their last five matches, earning 10 of a possible 12 points and accumulating 11.35 xGF in the process.
Wolfsburg is one of the best defensive teams in the Bundesliga, ranking third xGA. Die Wölfe have done a great job this year of limiting other team’s big chances. They’ve only allowed 27 big scoring chances from non-penalty situations, which is the lowest in the Bundesliga. Werder Bremen will no doubt have
Werder Bremen won the reverse fixture at the Volkswagen Arena 3-2 back in December. The expected goals report shows a different story, as Wolfsburg should not have lost that match.
Werder Bremen’s inept offensive will no doubt have a difficult time creating high quality chances against Wolfsburg’s stellar defense. I have the expected goals at:
- Werder Bremen – 0.95 xG
- Wolfsburg – 1.56 xG
I have a hard time seeing how Werder Bremen is even going to score in this game, given Wolfsburg’s stellar defense and away form as of late. I am backing Die Wölfe to get all three points in this match.