Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle Odds, Picks, Predictions for Friday Premier League (Nov. 27)
Robin Jones/Getty Images. Pictured: Newcastle standout Callum Wilson.
- Clubs stuck in neutral go at it Friday when Crystal Palace hosts Newcastle in Premier League action at Selhurst Park.
- These sides have combined to win just three matches in their last 10 outings.
- Jeremy Pond breaks down the match and gives his top plays.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle Odds
|Crystal Palace Odds||+133 [BET NOW]|
|Newcastle Odds||+230 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+215 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (+128/-162) [BET NOW]|
|Time||3 p.m. ET|
Clubs mired in mediocrity hit the pitch Friday when Crystal Palace hosts Newcastle United in a Premier League showdown at Selhurst Park.
Both sides have been anything but great as of late, combining for just three wins in their last 10 fixtures in England’s top flight.
Crystal Palace enters this match on short rest following its disappointing 1-0 loss to lowly Burnley on Monday at Turf Moor. The victory was the Clarets’ first of the season, moving them out of the relegation zone in the process.
On the other side, Newcastle looked lost and out of sync in its 2-0 defeat to Chelsea at St. James’ Park. It marked the second consecutive game the Magpies were shut out by a top-five opponent.
That said, let’s take a look at these sides and see what’s on deck.
Crystal Palace gets an opportunity to right the ship in quick fashion and put itself back inside the upper half of the standings after that loss to lowly Burnley.
Like Monday, manager Roy Hodgson and his side will be without star striker Wilfried Zaha, who missed out in the defeat after a positive COVID-19 test. Hodgson will have to find someone to fill the void left by Zaha, who has scored a team-best five goals in league matches.
When it comes to the statistical data, these clubs are downright bad across the board. Crystal Palace sits on just 9.1 expected goals and a brutal 12.5 expected goals against in league play.
Combined, those numbers generate a subpar -3.4 xGDiff and -0.38 xGDiff/90 minutes. Those are some of the worst figures in the 20-team league, which is somewhat surprising considering its place in the table.
The Magpies have struggled mightily under manager Steve Bruce, going winless in four of their last five matches. Their lone victory came back on Nov. 1 in a surprising 3-1 victory over Everton, which has reached a rough patch of its own after a blistering start. Callum Wilson struck twice in the triumph for the Magpies, who have scored just 10 goals in nine league fixtures.
Like its counterpart, Newcastle has compiled some pretty terrible advanced metrics. These clubs are essentially mirror images of each other.
The Magpies have a dismal 9.4 xGs and just as poor 12.7 expected goals against, yielding a -3.3 xGDiff and -0.37 for xGDiff/90 minutes. These numbers are more reflective of their placement in the standings.
Betting Analysis & Picks
Bottom line, this might be the most uneventful, unexciting match on the slate. Neither team has been in good form, which could lead to a snoozefest at Selhurst Park.
History also tells us this should be a low-scoring affair. The total has stayed under 2.5 goals the last seven times these sides have met across all competitions.
Throw in the fact both clubs struggle to get things done in their opponents’ defensive thirds of the park, and I simply don’t see a whole lot of action at either end of the field.
I am backing the total to stay under the number as my top play. I will also sprinkle a little on Crystal Palace via the Draw No Bet wager, with the thought being a draw (and refund) would be my worst-case scenario.
Picks: Crystal Palace — Draw No Bet (-157) | Total Under 2.5 Goals (-162)