Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Portland Timbers defender Alvas Powell (2) plays for the ball against Los Angeles FC defender Joao Moutinho (44)
- There are nine MLS matches on the board Saturday, including Atlanta United hosting Wayne Rooney and D.C. United.
- Toronto FC are the only road favorites on the board, and they desparately need to start winning to make the playoffs.
- After analyzing the betting market for every match, there are four sides or totals providing value.
Major League Soccer is about 60% of the way through the regular season and Saturday’s nine-match slate only features two between clubs currently in a playoff spot (New England-NY Red Bulls and Portland-Montreal). There’s certainly a lot of potential for the bottom-feeders to gain some ground in the playoff race.
After analyzing the betting market for every match, I’ve picked out four value plays. All odds are as of Saturday morning.
Season Record: 31-37-2, +13.26 units, 20% ROI
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D.C. United at Atlanta United
Moneyline odds: Atlanta -231, D.C. United +588, Draw +428
Total: 3.5 (u-125)
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
D.C. United earned a big 3-1 win at their brand new Audi Field last weekend, which also marked the debut of forward Wayne Rooney. They’re still currently 27 points behind Atlanta United in the standings, but they have six games in hand on today’s opponents.
Public bettors have been taking a shot on a D.C. upset with more than 40% of bets on the visitors. The lopsided support has moved Rooney and company from +845 to +588, but the value may actually now lie on Atlanta United (-231). I’ll be laying off, but this should be a very entertaining matinee match.