Wednesday MLS Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls (Oct. 14)


Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images. Pictured: Toronto FC standouts Alejandro Pozuelo and Pablo Piatti.

  • Another busy week of Major League Soccer action commences Wednesday, highlighted by an Eastern Conference showdown between Toronto FC and the New York Red Bulls.
  • Jeremy Pond breaks down the match and gives his top picks, including some bonus plays for games going on around the league.

Toronto FC vs. Red Bulls Odds

Toronto FC Odds -107 [BET NOW]
Red Bulls Odds +270 [BET NOW]
Draw +260 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-141/+105) [BET NOW]
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
TV MLS Live on ESPN+

Odds updated as of Wednesday at 6:30 p.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

Another busy week in Major League Soccer commences Wednesday, highlighted by an Eastern Conference showdown between Toronto FC and the New York Red Bulls.

The Reds became the first club to clinch a postseason berth with its 1-0 win against FC Cincinnati in its last outing. That triumph gave Toronto FC its fifth consecutive victory and extended its unbeaten streak to seven matches.

On the other side, RBNY earned a 1-0 win against Atlanta United behind a goal from 17-year-old rookie Caden Clark. It was a whirlwind day for Clark, who had signed with the franchise earlier that day before scoring in his debut.

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When comparing the common data and statistics between these clubs, they’re pretty much what you would expect.

Toronto FC has racked up some gaudy numbers, boasting a ridiculous 23.9 xGF and 11.6 xGA thus far this season. Both figures are tops among the 14 teams in the conference. That gives Toronto an +12.3 xGDiff and +0.88 xGDiff/90 minutes, second to only Seattle.

Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.

On the other side of the pitch, RBNY sits on 18.5 expected goals and a mediocre 19.6 expected goals against for a -1.1 xGDiff, along with a -0.08 xGDiff/90 minutes. On paper, those numbers really put the Red Bulls up against it in this tilt.

Despite the vast difference in stats, I am expecting another tight affair. These clubs always seem to bring out the best in each other, which is something I anticipate happening in this latest fixture.

With that in mind, I am backing the total to stay under the number. Oddsmakers have put the total at 2.5 goals, so I will buy up a half goal and play the game to stay under three goals.

Four of the last five meetings between these franchises have finished with two goals or fewer, which I anticipate happening in this spot.

I am also going to sprinkle a little on both teams to score.

If you’re looking for a side, it might be worth throwing something down on the draw at a ripe number. The number currently sits at +260, but I recommend waiting for an even better number north of +300 on a live play.

The Bets: Total Under 3 Goals (-159); Both Teams To Score — Yes (-162)


  • Inter Miami (-124) over Atlanta United: I really like the expansion side in this match against an Atlanta United that’s really struggling at the moment. The addition of Gonzalo Higuaín is reaping its rewards, which has me believing a third consecutive win for the host will be the outcome down in South Florida.
  • LA Galaxy (-130) over San Jose: The latest edition of the Cali Clasico takes place, with the Galaxy and Earthquakes meeting for the fourth time this season. Things got pretty heated and lit during the last affair — a San Jose 2-1 win — and I expect nothing short of the same in this contest.

Look for Los Angeles to exact some revenge at Dignity Health Sports Park and snap its five-match losing streak.

[Bet on the TFC-RBNY matchInter Miami & LA Galaxy at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

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