Tuesday MLS Betting Odds & Picks: Toronto FC vs. Vancouver (August 18)


Emilee Chinn/Getty Images. Pictured: Toronto FC midfielder Alejandro Pozuelo.

  • Toronto FC is a big favorite over Vancouver in Tuesday night MLS action, with the total at 3.5.
  • Jeremy Pond is backing Toronto -1 and banking on both teams to score in what should be a high-scoring affair.
  • Get his full breakdown of Toronto FC vs. Vancouver below.

Toronto FC vs. Vancouver Odds

Toronto FC odds -286 [BET NOW]
Vancouver odds +650 [BET NOW]
Draw +420 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 3.5 (+107/-136) [BET NOW]
Time 8 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+ | TSN 4/5

Odds as of Tuesday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

Excitement continues across the border in Major League Soccer action Tuesday when Toronto FC takes on Vancouver in the first of two consecutive matches between the Canadian rivals.

This is the first game for both clubs since their respective appearances at the MLS is Back tournament in Orlando, which will surely have them ready to go in this contest. The franchises play the second contest of the two-match series Friday in Toronto as well.

Toronto FC went 1-0-2 in the group stage of the MLS is Back event – the league’s mid-summer showcase — before suffering a 3-1 loss against New York City FC in the Round of 16 at the competition. Vancouver surprised many handicappers and pundits by earning a spot in the knockout stage despite missing numerous players, who opted to skip the tournament for various reasons. The Whitecaps fought Sporting Kansas City to a scoreless draw in their Round of 16 game before bowing out in a penalty shootout.

This should be a fairly entertaining match, with both clubs hoping to restart the league’s regular season in style. For Toronto FC, it’s a chance to solidify itself as an Eastern Conference favorite and threat to make another run toward another MLS Cup appearance.

The Reds opened their regular-season campaign with a 2-2 draw at San Jose before a 1-0 win against NYCFC in its home opener at BMO Field before the global pandemic halted play across the league.

On the other side, Vancouver is hoping to continue its forward progress after a respectable showing in Florida to go along with 1-1 record in league play. The Whitecaps suffered a 3-1 loss to Sporting Kansas City in its opener before picking up a 1-0 win against the Los Angeles Galaxy.

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Matchup Analysis

When looking at the numbers going into this match, Toronto has a distinct edge over Vancouver in all data areas. Toronto FC boasts a huge 4.4 expected goals and 1.3 expected goals against for a plus-3.1 expected goals differential, as well as a +1.57 xGDiff/90 minutes.

Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.

In contrast, Vancouver trails Toronto FC in the same categories (3.0 xGF/1.2 xGA = +1.8 xGDiff and +0.91 xGDiff/90 minutes).

That all said, I am backing Toronto FC to pick up the outright win on the spread in this match. The Reds are the deeper club, particularly in the middle of the park, and should be able to exploit the Vancouver defense throughout the match.

I will also back both teams to score in the game. Each club has found the back of the net in five of the last six matches in the series and I see no reason why that won’t continue in this contest.

The Bets:

  • Toronto FC -1 (-125)
  • Both Teams To Score – Yes (-150)

[Bet now at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

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