World Cup: Sharps Betting on Underdog Tunisia Against England

World Cup: Sharps Betting on Underdog Tunisia Against England article feature image

Twitter @England. Pictured: English National Team

It’s been a shaky start for the top World Cup favorites, and we’ll see if that continues Monday with Belgium and England in action.

Here’s a breakdown of the market for each game and which teams the sharps/public are betting.

Sweden vs. South Korea, Group F

8 a.m. ET

The moneyline has fluctuated throughout the last month, with Sweden bouncing up and down between +104 and +122.

As you can see from the line graph, public bettors have maintained their support for Sweden with more than 65% of tickets. The draw is getting the least amount of attention (14% of bets) but has moved from +228 to +223.

Since opening, the total has dropped from 2.25 to 2 on the Asian handicap, and the juice is now on the under (-120). I wouldn’t be surprised to see a South Korea upset or 1-1 draw here.

Belgium vs. Panama, Group G

11 a.m. ET

Belgium are the largest favorite in group action so far, with -540 odds to beat Panama. It’s hard to see Los Canaleros having a chance here, but 23% of bets have come in on the huge upset at +1850.

The over/under is back to where it opened at 2.5 (o-140), and naturally, two-thirds of the bets will be rooting for goals. This should be a multigoal win by Belgium; it’s just a matter of how many.


England vs. Tunisia, Group G

2 p.m. ET

Would you believe that England are on track to be the most popular bet in group play so far, with 86% of tickets? Despite the incredibly lopsided support, the moneyline has dropped drastically from -300 to -222. There’s certainly some sharp money out there believing that Tunisia can get a result in this one, win or draw.

The sharp total action has been on under 2.5, with the juice moving from -110 to -140.