Table Tennis Odds & Pick for Moscow Liga Pro (Thursday, April 30): Andrey Kirilenko vs. Viktor Ivanov
TF-Images/Getty Images. Pictured: ackets are seen during the match between TSV 1909 Langstadt and TV Busenbach on February 1, 2020
The other day we had Alexander Frolov, today we have Andrey Kirilenko. I guess in Russia those names are like Will Smith and Erik Johnson.
Have you joined the $10,000 table tennis betting tournament? It’s not too late considering how many matches there are to bet.
As for today’s pick, those who are scared off by laying some juice may want to take advantage of Pointsbet’s $100 risk-free bet — new users actually get two.
Andrey Kirilenko vs. Viktor Ivanov
- Kirilenko: +126
- Ivanov: -165
- 5:30 p.m. ET
As good as Andrey Kirilenko was at basketball, that’s how bad he is at ping pong. All right, it’s probably not the AK47 whose shot-blocking abilities you learned to love. I’m not seeing anything on his Wikipedia page about a table tennis career so it’s probably another guy.
Anyway, this Kirilenko is quite retched at his sport of choice. In 32 games he’s played in the Liga, he is just 6-26. One could argue that he’s gotten worse as of late, too, sporting just a 2-15 record since April 27th.
With a 30-20 record over his past 50 matches, Ivanov is no doubt an above average player.
From what I’ve gathered, the odds for these matches heavily weigh head-to-head results. However, even if you look at those numbers compared to Ivanov’s implied probability, you’d be getting a good edge
- Ivanov’s H2H win%: 71.4% (5-2)
- Ivanov’s IP: 62.3%
Considering Ivanov has a 60% win rate overall compared to the sub-20% ugliness that Kirilneko is boasting, you can see why I like Ivanov in this match.
I think it’d be fair to peg Ivanov in the -200 range or even a tad higher, and quite frankly, I can’t see why anyone would take AK47 at just +126.