Damn, tough match for Dominic Thiem — our hitter on Sunday — as Sascha Zverev was simply too good in the Madrid final. The German won 83% of his first-serve points and played stunning tennis for the duration of their match.

Moving on to another week of clay tennis, this time in the Italian capital, Rome, home to perhaps my favorite tournament on Tour.

Unlike Madrid, which — because of altitude — plays uniquely quick (by clay standards) and causes the ball to fly through the court, Rome tends to play very slow, especially during the night sessions. For that reason, we must treat this tournament as a completely separate entity.

With 13 matches on tap, let’s get right into Monday’s hitter.

YTD: 46-43, +11.23 units

Karen Khachanov (+140) vs. Philipp Kohlschreiber (-160)

Where: Rome
Surface: Clay
When: Not before 6:30 a.m. ET
H2H: 1-1

Access Premium Insights

Unlock this article and get unlimited access to all of the data-driven analysis from the sharpest minds in sports betting and daily fantasy sports.

Start Your Free TrialAlready a Sports Action member? Sign in