Finding ATP Betting Value on Wednesday’s Clay Card
After a week off for Davis Cup play, the ATP Tour returned to action this week with two clay court tournaments: one in Marrakech and one on the American clay (or dirt) of Houston.
We have now fully shifted gears into the clay season, which will remain the focus through the end of the French Open in June. While Marrakech plays a lot closer to the types of red dirt you see on most European clay courts, the dirt in Houston is, more or less, your standard American clay. That means players slide less and get a little more help on their serve.
Today, I will take a look at the following four matches that I think hold betting value:
- Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Gilles Simon -125 | 7 a.m. ET
- Denis Kudla vs. Ivo Karlovic -105 | 2:30 p.m. ET
- Tennys Sandgren vs. Nicolas Kicker (-135) | 1 p.m. ET
- Guido Pella vs. Sam Querrey (-140) | 4 p.m. ET
Let’s dig into the dirt.
Denis Kudla vs. Ivo Karlovic (-105)
When: Not before 2:30 p.m. EST
While Americans generally aren’t known for their clay prowess, they tend to fare well in Houston. Jack Sock, John Isner and Stevie Johnson (who all get their best results on quicker hard courts) have all captured a title here over the past five years.