This week, the ATP Tour will spread out across three 250-level tournaments — all on red clay — in Estoril, Istanbul and Munich. With two clay-Masters 1000s on the horizon (Madrid and Rome), many of the big-named players on tour will sit this week out in preparation for those higher-level tourneys. But, still, tennis will go on — and, thus, tennis will get bet on.
It’s a tricky looking card Tuesday. I had Roberto Carballés Baena -125 circled when the lines opened, but the price on the Spaniard has risen to -160 over the past day or so, sucking out all of the value.
After Cam Norrie’s Davis Cup heroics a few months back on the clay in Spain — he took out Roberto Bautista Agut and pushed Albert Ramos Viñolas to five sets — he looks underpriced at +240 against the at-times fickle Dutchman, Robin Haase.
I also considered Federico Delbonis at plus-money against the aforementioned Ramos, whose form has looked a bit suspect of late, to say the least. However, the same could be said of Delbonis, who has now dropped three straight on clay (his favorite surface). While I think Delbonis gets off the schneid Tuesday, it’s not quite “hitter” material — that match should swing back and forth a few times before it’s all said and done. It looks like a great live-betting match for any tennis traders out there.
While I passed on the above, I did find two hitters in the following matches on Tuesday’s ATP card.
- Leonardo Mayer (-145) vs. Nicolas Jarry (+125) | 11:30 a.m. ET
- Pablo Andujar (+130) vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (-150) | 11:30 a.m. ET
Let’s take a closer look at both.
YTD: 41-40 +9.18 units
Nicolas Jarry (+125) vs. Leonardo Mayer (-145)
Where: Estoril, Portugal
When: Not before 11:30 a.m. ET
Head-to-head: Mayer leads 1-0