Sunday’s ATP Daily Hitter: Which Young Star Will Come Out on Top in Madrid?

May 13, 2018, 09:33 PM EDT

Friday’s hitter came through in emphatic fashion, although I will admit I kind of regret not pulling the trigger on the moneyline, outright (I had texted Stuckey about it). We were on Dominic Thiem with the games (+6 — or 6.5, if you could snag it) against Rafael Nadal, but we wouldn’t need a spread — my boy Domi won outright: 7-5, 6-3.

Nevertheless, great win for Thiem, who was able to come through his match Saturday morning as well (against big South African “Come on Kevin” Anderson), and set up a final clash against budding star (and rival) Sascha Zverev. Needless to say, CAN’T WAIT (Bart Scott voice).

Zverev beat Denis Shapovalov in his semifinal match, rather comprehensively, 6-4 6-1, and this one is priced as a coin toss — or “pick ‘em,” as the kids say. However, I see one side with clear value.

YTD: 46-42, +12.38 units

Dominic Thiem (-115) vs. Sascha Zverev (+105)

Where: Madrid, Spain
When: 12:30 p.m. EST
H2H: Thiem leads 4-1

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