WTA French Open Betting Previews for Monday: Can Kenin Back Up Her Win Over Serena?

Jun 02, 2019 11:19 AM EDT
Credit:

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sofia Kenin

  • French Open WTA betting action continues on Monday with the final four quarterfinal spots on the line.
  • We will preview each of the four matches, which will feature three Americans not named Serena Williams.

What a tournament it has been on the women’s side.

We have multiple teenagers making deep runs, upsets galore and a French Open breakthrough by Brit Johanna Konta. It’s still anybody’s tournament.

Let’s take a look at each of the remaining R16 matches to see who will book the final four spots in the quarterfinals, then reveal my betting card for Monday.

Updated French Open Record: 13-8-1 +9.39 units


Katerina Siniakova vs. Madison Keys | Over/Under: 21

Monday, Time TBD

After securing the win of her career, Siniakova will seek her first Grand Slam quarterfinal appearance. She played incredibly clean in that upset win over No. 1 seed Naomi Osaka. The Czech committed only 13 unforced errors, as she primarily just got the ball back in play for Osaka to spray errors.

Siniakova can carry over that strategy against Keys, who will try to blast her off the court.

Keys has had an easy draw to this point but has made a mess of it. After winning the first set in her second- and third-round matches, she became very erratic. She still won both matches, but Siniakova will present a much stiffer test than Priscilla Hon and Anna Blinkova.

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Katerina Siniakova

In the first ever meeting between these two, I have Keys priced as a -165 favorite, so I don’t see an value on the moneyline.

I believe the play is the over 21 games. Over the past two years, Siniakova is 5-11 vs. top-20 competition (matches that did not end in retirement). Nine of those 16 matches went three sets.

In an expected tight affair, we also might see a tiebreaker (or two). I could also see Keys struggling to close another match out as she continues her streaks of erratic play.


Sonya Kenin vs. Ashleigh Barty -415 | O/U: 20

Monday, Time TBD

Despite winning Hobart to start 2019, this is Kenin’s breakout event.

Defeating Serena Williams is a major accomplishment — especially at a major.

Kenin was much the better player in that match vs. Serena. But can Kenin replicate that performance against an in-form Barty in the midst of her own career year? Probably not.

I can’t stress enough how terrific Kenin played on Saturday. She took balls early, got Serena on the move and routinely hit winners.

However, Barty represents a completely different opponent.

The Aussie will hit plenty of different shots, including multiple slice forehands and backhands, which Kenin did not see with Williams. The 20-year-old American has struggled with Barty in the past, losing both meetings in straight sets. One of those matches came on clay, but of the green variety (completely different conditions) in Charleston.

Kenin has also never experienced this much success on clay. Just look at last year when she went 0-5 on Tour. Suffice to say, I think Barty moves on, but I don’t see much value in the line.


Aliona Bolsova vs. Amanda Anisimova -290 | O/U: 20.5

Monday, Time TBD

Bolsova came through again for us on Saturday, but she will take a big step up in competition against the 17-year-old American.

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