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Tuesday ATP Grass Betting Preview: Andy Murray Returns in London

Jun 19, 2018 8:50 PM EDT

The Highlights

  • We have two grass tournaments on Tour this week in Halle and London.
  • Andy Murray (+238) makes his long-awaited return to Tour against Nick Kyrgios.
  • Our best bet of the day comes at Queen’s Club, where defending champ, Feli Lopez (+135), takes on David Goffin.

We’ve got two star-studded tournaments to handicap on the grass courts this week — one in Germany and the other in England.

Over in Halle, the likes of local favorites Sascha Zverev (-278 against Borna Coric) and Philipp Kohlschreiber (-180 vs. Marton Fucsovics) are in action. And at the new “Fever-Tree” sponsored Queen’s Club, all eyes will be on the return of Andy Murray in London.

Unfortunately for Muzzard, he didn’t get an easy draw in his return to Tour, as he will take on Nick Kyrgios — fresh off a decent week in Stuttgart. The talented Aussie comes in on form, pushing the newly-crowned World No. 1, Roger Federer, to a third set breaker in the semis.

I found the video below of Murray practicing in London this week on Youtube, and — you can look for yourself — but it ain’t pretty. Given his limited movement, I can’t see Murray surviving more than 3-4 shots per rally. Murray, himself, even admitted he’s not fully fit yet. If true, the -288 price tag on Kyrgios looks like a bargain.

 

Kyrgios should win comprehensively — but, given his friendship with Andy, I wouldn’t put it past the “easy-going” Kyrgios to keep it interesting. If you’re searching for a moneyline parlay piece, Nick looks like a fit.

Elsewhere on the card, I had a few things of interest circled. Firstly, I think Karen Khachanov now holds value against Mischa Zverev in Halle. Hach opened around -125, but the elder Zverev has apparently taken on a ton of money — and you can now find Hach at +120.

I understand Zverev plays his best ball on the grass — and, sure, he looked alright last week against Federer (in his first match back from layoff) — but I think layers are being a touch generous here. Mischa is still just 10-17 this season at the Tour level. And, lest we forget, Khachanov washed Zverev earlier this year 6-2, 6-1, at Marseille. Unless Zverev serves super efficiently and brings his A-game, I expect Khachanov to have a solid chance.

I also like the looks of Adrian Mannarino (-112) over in London against Dan Evans. Evans (+100) has been balling on the grass, but I expect conditioning to loom large — with the Brit making the Surbiton semifinals and the Nottingham final over the past two weeks. Mannarino can be a tough assignment on the grass — especially if you have heavy legs.

Let’s now get into the daily hitter for Tuesday.


Feli Lopez (+135) vs. David Goffin (-155)

When: Not before 10:30 a.m. ET
Where: London, UK
Surface: Grass
H2H: Goffin leads 3-0 (never met on grass)

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Credit:

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Andy Murray

Follow Daniel J. Scotti on Twitter
@scottipippen

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