Connecticut Sun in WNBA Bounce-Back Spot vs. Atlanta Dream

Connecticut Sun in WNBA Bounce-Back Spot vs. Atlanta Dream article feature image
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Instagram/ConnecticutSun

No team started the 2018 WNBA season hotter than the Connecticut Sun, who raced out to a 5-0 record in dominant fashion. Since then, the Sun have dropped four of their last six games, leaving us wondering which version we’ll see as the season progresses.

 

As always, context is needed in order to paint the full picture. The Sun’s current three-game losing streak has played out as follows:

6/13: Connecticut battled back from a 28-point halftime deficit to lose a heart-breaker at home to the Mystics.

6/15: Playing without its best defensive player, Alyssa Thomas, Connecticut lost a game in Seattle to the Storm, who are now 8-4.

6/16: On the second half of a road back-to-back set, with leading scorer Chiney Ogwumike joining Thomas on the inactive list, the Sun dropped a game to the Mercury, who are now 10-3.

Does this sound like a team that deserves a little slack? Let’s take a look at a profitable BetLabs trend that supports backing the Sun in Friday’s matchup against the Atlanta Dream (7 p.m. ET).

The system is based on the idea that teams that have performed poorly in the midst of difficult road trips will be undervalued in their next games. Specifically, the system matches the following criteria:

-The team has lost three or more consecutive games.

-The team is playing its second to sixth consecutive road game.

The system is 118-78-5 against the spread (ATS) over 201 games with a 17.2% return on investment (ROI). While we generally prefer to back the underdog in this spot, the Sun are well-positioned to add another W to the ledger.

Perhaps most importantly, Connecticut will be well-rested entering Friday night’s action. Following the brutal three-in-four stretch described above, the Sun have had five consecutive days off to recuperate. That should do wonders both for Ogwumike, whose absence against Phoenix was described by Sun head coach Curt Miller as “precautionary”, and Thomas, who remains day-to-day with her shoulder injury.

Don’t let a recent rough patch in the schedule cloud your opinion of the Sun — who looked unstoppable only a couple weeks ago — and consider taking Connecticut at -6.