Koerner: Use My Projected WNBA Betting Odds to Find Best Tuesday Lines

Koerner: Use My Projected WNBA Betting Odds to Find Best Tuesday Lines article feature image
Credit:

Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sylvia Fowles

  • Sean Koerner uses his power ratings to project WNBA betting odds for Tuesday's matchups.
  • See his projected spreads and totals for Lynx-Fever (7 p.m. ET) and Storm-Aces (10 p.m. ET).

We have two WNBA matchups on the docket for Tuesday night.

Let’s dive right into my projected odds for the Minnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever as well as the Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces, and what lines I’ll be looking to bet in each.


Find more on my WNBA Power Ratings and how I use them to project betting odds here.


Minnesota Lynx (5-5) at Indiana Fever (5-6)

Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET

Natalie Achonwa was able to return last game in limited minutes, which is great news for the Fever. The bad news is that after flying to Atlanta, the Fever had their flight out of the Peach State canceled, so they had to catch a bus from Atlanta to Indianapolis.

This travel situation is bad enough, but when you factor in that it’s for a home game, it’s really unfortunate. I have this matchup as a pick ‘em in my power ratings but think I have to ding the Fever around 1 to 1.5 points for their travel nightmare.

I’m setting the line here at Lynx -1.5 with a total of 151.5.

Projected Spread: Lynx -1.5
Projected Total: 151.5

Seattle Storm (7-4) at Las Vegas Aces (5-4)

Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET

The Storm continue to overachieve while the Aces are much better than their record indicates.

I have the Aces as hefty 8.5-point favorites here and doubt the market allows the number to get that high. I’ll be looking for a cautious but likely opening number of Aces -5.5, which I’ll quickly try to grab before it settles in the -7 range.

I have this total at 157.5, but could see it opening a tad lower. The Storm have seen the under easily hit in four straight. And while the Aces play at the fastest pace in the league, it’s remarkable just how close their games end up being to the closing total. Therefore it’s critical to make sure you are getting the best number possible in their matchups.

I’ll be looking to bet the opening number if it’s 2.5 or more points off in either direction.

Projected Spread: Aces -8.5
Projected Total: 157.5