WNBA Betting Odds Value Calculator (7/12): Wings-Storm Could Have Season’s Lowest Total

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Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Natasha Howard

  • See Sean Koerner's projected WNBA betting odds for Storm vs. Wings and Friday's four other games.
  • You can also plug your odds into his WNBA Betting Odds Value Calculator to see where you might have an edge.

My WNBA Betting Odds Value Calculator — which you can download at the bottom of this story — is intended to help you identify any potential edges by comparing my projected spreads and over/unders to the lines available at your sportsbook.

My projections are where I think the lines should close, so it’s all about trying to beat those. Here are two ways I do that:

  1. By exploiting any discrepancies between my projections and the opening lines as soon as the market opens.
  2. By monitoring when lines drift from my projections during the day, then hitting a line when it peaks.

You can follow me on The Action Network app and sign up to be notified when I submit my bets, which is typically as soon as I make them.

You’ll find my projected odds for all five of Friday’s games outlined below:

  • Los Angeles Sparks at Indiana Fever: 7 p.m. ET
  • Minnesota Lynx at Atlanta Dream: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • New York Liberty at Chicago Sky: 8 p.m. ET
  • Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun: 8 p.m. ET
  • Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm: 10 p.m. ET

I’ve added a customization within the spreadsheet to account for the statuses of Diana Taurasi, Candace Parker and Allisha Gray (including if any are still questionable).

Keep an eye on the Wings-Storm total, which should be the lowest we’ve seen all season. They’re the league’s two slowest teams in pace and among bottom three in Offensive Rating. Seattle also has the second-best Defensive Rating.

Projected WNBA Betting Odds

Los Angeles Sparks at Indiana Fever

  • Projected spread: Sparks -2.5
  • Projected total: 157

Minnesota Lynx at Atlanta Dream

  • Projected spread: Lynx -2
  • Projected total: 148.5

New York Liberty at Chicago Sky

  • Projected spread: Sky -5
  • Projected total: 162.5

Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun

  • Projected spread: Sun -4
  • Projected total: 156

Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm

  • Projected spread: Storm -5.5
  • Projected total: 139

WNBA Betting Odds Value Calculator: 7/12

Download the Excel sheet with my projections to input odds from your sportsbook. Here’s a preview of what it’ll look like:

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