Fatigue Creating Betting Value for Thursday’s Fever-Dream WNBA Matchup



Jun 14, 2018, 08:33 AM EDT

Athletes need to manage their rest in order to compete at a high level. This is something I found out the hard way last week after running a mile on three consecutive days. Whether we’re playing in 40-minute WNBA games or running 40-minute miles on consecutive days, one thing is clear: when we overextend ourselves physically, our performance can suffer.


Rest will be a major theme during the 2018 WNBA season for one key reason. This fall, the FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup will be held from Sept. 22-Sept. 30, interfering with the WNBA schedule. Last season, the WNBA playoffs did not even begin until Sept 29. Since the WNBA did not want to interfere with FIBA’s schedule — as many of its players will be competing in the tournament — we are left with a very condensed regular-season schedule.

“The first thing I noticed when I saw the 2018 WNBA schedule is how condensed it was because of the World Championship in September,” Connecticut Sun head coach Curt Miller said. “Along with that, the amount of time we have to prepare and practice both before and during the season is considerably shorter.”

The condensed schedule has led to more “biorhythm” games, featuring teams playing back-to-back sets, three-games-in-five-day sets, etc. From a betting perspective, this is interesting.

One such biorhythm game features the league-worst Indiana Fever visiting Atlanta to take on the Dream on Thursday (11:30 a.m. ET), and here’s how bettors can take advantage:

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Unlock this article + all the EDGE benefits

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Bill Monighetti on Twitter